Updated

Liga I · Matchday 15

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Cluj

· Stadionul Municipal, Miercurea Ciuc

Alin prediction Universitatea Cluj to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
CsikszeredaDrawUniversitatea Cluj
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.11.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Universitatea Cluj is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Csikszereda5.52 Draw4.40 Universitatea Cluj1.55

Price as of

Expected return at 1.55: -7.7% per unit staked

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Cluj preview

In the Liga I fixture between Csikszereda and Universitatea Cluj, the 1X2 probabilities show Universitatea Cluj at 59%, with a likely scoreline of 1-2 at 10%. The expected goals indicate Csikszereda at 1.22 and Universitatea Cluj at 2.08, suggesting a strong advantage for the visitors.

However, Csikszereda's recent form includes 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Universitatea Cluj has won 4 of their last 5. Both teams to score stands at 63%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 64%. If Csikszereda can improve their performance, the predicted outcome might not hold.

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Cluj: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceCsikszeredaDrawUniversitatea Cluj
Model20%24%56%
Market18%22%61%
Published18%22%60%
Edge+1%0%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.11.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Cluj odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Universitatea Cluj, 25 snapshots since 2026-10-25.

Opened 1.54Now 1.52 -0.02
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Csikszereda5.905.25-0.65
Draw4.084.22+0.15
Universitatea Cluj1.541.52-0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Csikszereda and Universitatea Cluj expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.11Csikszereda
1.97Universitatea Cluj
Total expected goals
3.08
Attack rating (Csikszereda / Universitatea Cluj)
0.68 / 1.39
Defence rating (Csikszereda / Universitatea Cluj)
1.33 / 1.08

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Cluj score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.6% 8.1% 8.9% 5.9% 4.5% 1 4.1% 11.1% 9.9% 6.5% 5.0% 2 2.8% 5.6% 5.5% 3.6% 2.8% 3 1.0% 2.1% 2.0% 1.3% 1.0% 4+ 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4%

Rows: Csikszereda goals. Columns: Universitatea Cluj goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Cluj goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 59%
Over 3.5 37%
Both teams to score
59%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Csikszereda vs Universitatea Cluj

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Csikszereda18%5.51
Draw22%4.49
Universitatea Cluj60%1.68
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559%1.68
Under 2.541%2.47
Both teams to scoreYes59%1.70
No41%2.42
Double chance1X (Csikszereda or draw)40%2.47
12 (either side)78%1.29
X2 (draw or Universitatea Cluj)82%1.22
Handicap -1Universitatea Cluj win by 2+34%2.94
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Csikszereda and Universitatea Cluj recent form

Csikszereda 1W 1D 4L
Universitatea Cluj 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Csikszereda at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-4
Win rate
17%
Goals for / match
0.83
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 1 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 14 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Universitatea Cluj away

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-3
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
2 of 6
  • They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

League matches this season before kick-off: Csikszereda at home only, Universitatea Cluj away only.

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Cluj head-to-head

Last 5 meetings: Csikszereda 3 · draws 1 · Universitatea Cluj 1.

CsikszeredaDrawsUniversitatea Cluj
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-14Universitatea Cluj4-1CsikszeredaLiga I
2025-10-04Csikszereda2-1Universitatea ClujLiga I
2021-09-13Csikszereda3-1Universitatea ClujLiga II
2020-11-26Csikszereda2-1Universitatea ClujLiga II
2019-09-27Csikszereda1-1Universitatea ClujLiga II

Other Matchday 15 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Universitatea Cluj to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Universitatea Cluj