FCSB vs Corvinul Hunedoara preview
In the Liga I fixture between FCSB and Corvinul Hunedoara, the 1X2 probabilities show FCSB at 56%, while Corvinul Hunedoara sits at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% chance according to our model. FCSB's expected goals are 1.81, compared to Corvinul Hunedoara's 1.22, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
However, there are factors that could affect this outcome. Both teams to score has a 60% likelihood, suggesting that Corvinul Hunedoara could find the net. Additionally, FCSB's recent form includes two losses in their last six matches, which could impact their performance. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
FCSB vs Corvinul Hunedoara: model vs market
| Source | FCSB | Draw | Corvinul Hunedoara |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Market | 60% | 23% | 17% |
| Published | 57% | 24% | 20% |
| Edge | -4% | +1% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.20.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FCSB vs Corvinul Hunedoara odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FCSB, 25 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FCSB | 1.67 | 1.53 | -0.14 |
| Draw | 3.97 | 4.07 | +0.10 |
| Corvinul Hunedoara | 4.79 | 5.43 | +0.64 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FCSB and Corvinul Hunedoara expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.82
- Attack rating (FCSB / Corvinul Hunedoara)
- 1.07 / 0.91
- Defence rating (FCSB / Corvinul Hunedoara)
- 1.22 / 1.00
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FCSB vs Corvinul Hunedoara score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FCSB goals. Columns: Corvinul Hunedoara goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FCSB vs Corvinul Hunedoara goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FCSB vs Corvinul Hunedoara
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FCSB | 57% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.22 | |
| Corvinul Hunedoara | 20% | 5.12 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.15 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| No | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FCSB or draw) | 80% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Corvinul Hunedoara) | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Handicap -1 | FCSB win by 2+ | 25% | 4.06 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FCSB and Corvinul Hunedoara recent form
FCSB
3W 1D 2L
Corvinul Hunedoara
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FCSB at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-1
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 2.14
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Corvinul Hunedoara away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 14 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: FCSB at home only, Corvinul Hunedoara away only.
FCSB vs Corvinul Hunedoara head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: FCSB 1 · draws 0 · Corvinul Hunedoara 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-04 | FCSB | 3-0 | Corvinul Hunedoara | Supercupa |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Uta Arad v Petrolul Ploiesti — match page 2026-11-06
- Arges Pitesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Csikszereda v Universitatea Cluj — match page 2026-11-07
- Farul Constanta vs Rapid 2026-11-07
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Voluntari 2026-11-08
- CFR 1907 Cluj v Universitatea Craiova — match page 2026-11-08
- FC Botosani vs Oţelul — team news & stats 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- FCSB, previous: Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB prediction
- Corvinul Hunedoara, previous: Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti: odds and pick