FC Botosani vs Oţelul preview
In the Liga I fixture between FC Botosani and Oţelul, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Botosani at 46%, while Oţelul sits at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% chance. FC Botosani has an expected goals figure of 1.87 compared to Oţelul's 1.22, suggesting a stronger attacking performance.
However, both teams have struggled recently, with FC Botosani recording L-L-L-W-L-D and Oţelul on a streak of D-L-D-L-L-L. This recent form could impact the match outcome, making it possible for the game to end in a draw or for Oţelul to secure an unexpected victory. The model indicates a 60% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 61% probability for both teams to score.
FC Botosani vs Oţelul: model vs market
| Source | FC Botosani | Draw | Oţelul |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Market | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Published | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.09, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FC Botosani vs Oţelul odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Botosani, 24 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Botosani | 2.24 | 2.05 | -0.19 |
| Draw | 3.47 | 3.42 | -0.05 |
| Oţelul | 3.04 | 3.28 | +0.24 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Botosani and Oţelul expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.09
- Attack rating (FC Botosani / Oţelul)
- 1.00 / 0.99
- Defence rating (FC Botosani / Oţelul)
- 1.15 / 1.23
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Botosani vs Oţelul score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Botosani goals. Columns: Oţelul goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Botosani vs Oţelul goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Botosani vs Oţelul
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Botosani | 47% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 | |
| Oţelul | 27% | 3.70 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.65 |
| No | 39% | 2.54 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Botosani or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Oţelul) | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Botosani win by 2+ | 30% | 3.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Botosani and Oţelul recent form
FC Botosani
1W 1D 4L
Oţelul
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Botosani at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oţelul away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 2.17
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Botosani at home only, Oţelul away only.
FC Botosani vs Oţelul head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: FC Botosani 1 · draws 2 · Oţelul 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | FC Botosani | 1-1 | Oţelul | Liga I |
| 2026-02-02 | FC Botosani | 0-0 | Oţelul | Liga I |
| 2025-09-14 | Oţelul | 0-1 | FC Botosani | Liga I |
Other Matchday 15 fixtures
- Uta Arad v Petrolul Ploiesti — match page 2026-11-06
- Arges Pitesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Csikszereda v Universitatea Cluj — match page 2026-11-07
- Farul Constanta vs Rapid 2026-11-07
- FCSB vs Corvinul Hunedoara 2026-11-07
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Voluntari 2026-11-08
- CFR 1907 Cluj v Universitatea Craiova — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- FC Botosani, previous: Universitatea Craiova vs FC Botosani prediction
- Oţelul, previous: Oţelul v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe analysis