Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj preview
In the Liga I match between Petrolul Ploiesti and CFR 1907 Cluj, the 1X2 probabilities show Petrolul Ploiesti at 40%, CFR 1907 Cluj at 33%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 2.05 for Petrolul Ploiesti and 1.17 for CFR 1907 Cluj.
Both teams to score stands at 61%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 62%. Petrolul Ploiesti has a recent form of W-D-L-W-D-W, compared to CFR 1907 Cluj's D-L-W-L-W-L. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating potential uncertainty in the outcome. If CFR 1907 Cluj improves their form, it could challenge the expected results.
Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj: model vs market
| Source | Petrolul Ploiesti | Draw | CFR 1907 Cluj |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57% | 23% | 20% |
| Market | 34% | 29% | 37% |
| Published | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Edge | +6% | -1% | -4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.17.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Petrolul Ploiesti below our published probability: +5.7 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.75, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +9.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Petrolul Ploiesti, 16 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 2.80 | 2.71 | -0.09 |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.20 | +0.15 |
| CFR 1907 Cluj | 2.55 | 2.51 | -0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Petrolul Ploiesti and CFR 1907 Cluj expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.22
- Attack rating (Petrolul Ploiesti / CFR 1907 Cluj)
- 1.14 / 1.02
- Defence rating (Petrolul Ploiesti / CFR 1907 Cluj)
- 1.07 / 1.18
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Petrolul Ploiesti goals. Columns: CFR 1907 Cluj goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 61%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 40% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 | |
| CFR 1907 Cluj | 33% | 3.06 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| No | 39% | 2.57 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Petrolul Ploiesti or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or CFR 1907 Cluj) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Handicap -1 | Petrolul Ploiesti win by 2+ | 35% | 2.87 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Petrolul Ploiesti and CFR 1907 Cluj recent form
Petrolul Ploiesti
3W 2D 1L
CFR 1907 Cluj
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Petrolul Ploiesti at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CFR 1907 Cluj away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-5
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Petrolul Ploiesti at home only, CFR 1907 Cluj away only.
Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Petrolul Ploiesti 1 · draws 0 · CFR 1907 Cluj 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 2-1 | Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| 2025-10-20 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 1-0 | CFR 1907 Cluj | Liga I |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Rapid vs Csikszereda 2026-10-30
- Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Oţelul v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — match page 2026-11-01
- Universitatea Craiova v FC Botosani — match page 2026-11-01
- Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta 2026-11-02
- Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB — team news & stats 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Petrolul Ploiesti, previous: FC Botosani v Petrolul Ploiesti analysis
- CFR 1907 Cluj, previous: CFR 1907 Cluj – Dinamo Bucuresti, 2026-10-25