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Liga II · Matchday 12

Cetatea Suceava vs Bihor Oradea

Alin prediction Cetatea Suceava to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Cetatea SuceavaDrawBihor Oradea
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.14.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Cetatea Suceava vs Bihor Oradea preview

In the Liga II fixture between Cetatea Suceava and Bihor Oradea, the 1X2 probabilities show Cetatea Suceava at 48%, while Bihor Oradea is at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with expected goals of 1.62 for Cetatea Suceava and 1.13 for Bihor Oradea.

The model suggests a 52% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 56% likelihood for both teams to score. However, the recent form indicates that Bihor Oradea has experienced inconsistency, with two losses in their last three matches. If they fail to perform, it could impact the expected outcomes.

Cetatea Suceava vs Bihor Oradea: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceCetatea SuceavaDrawBihor Oradea
Model47%27%26%
Market———
Published47%27%26%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.14.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Cetatea Suceava and Bihor Oradea expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.62Cetatea Suceava
1.14Bihor Oradea
Total expected goals
2.76
Attack rating (Cetatea Suceava / Bihor Oradea)
1.36 / 1.23
Defence rating (Cetatea Suceava / Bihor Oradea)
0.78 / 0.75

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Cetatea Suceava vs Bihor Oradea score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.5% 6.0% 4.1% 1.5% 0.6% 1 9.1% 12.9% 6.6% 2.5% 0.9% 2 8.3% 9.5% 5.4% 2.0% 0.7% 3 4.5% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4% 4+ 2.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Rows: Cetatea Suceava goals. Columns: Bihor Oradea goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Cetatea Suceava vs Bihor Oradea goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 52%
Over 3.5 30%
Both teams to score
56%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Cetatea Suceava vs Bihor Oradea

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Cetatea Suceava47%2.11
Draw27%3.71
Bihor Oradea26%3.92
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552%1.92
Under 2.548%2.09
Both teams to scoreYes56%1.80
No44%2.25
Double chance1X (Cetatea Suceava or draw)74%1.34
12 (either side)73%1.37
X2 (draw or Bihor Oradea)53%1.90
Handicap -1Cetatea Suceava win by 2+26%3.92
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Cetatea Suceava and Bihor Oradea recent form

Cetatea Suceava 4W 2D 0L
Bihor Oradea 4W 0D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Cetatea Suceava at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-1-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
2.17
Goals against / match
0.83
Clean sheets
3 of 6
  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.

Bihor Oradea away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.20
Goals against / match
1.60
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Cetatea Suceava at home only, Bihor Oradea away only.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Cetatea Suceava to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Cetatea Suceava