Gloria Bistriţa vs Cetatea Suceava preview
In the Liga II match between Gloria Bistriţa and Cetatea Suceava, the 1X2 probabilities show Gloria Bistriţa at 31%, a draw at 27%, and Cetatea Suceava leading at 42%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-2, which occurs with a 9% chance.
Both teams have shown attacking potential, with 55% for Over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. However, Gloria Bistriţa's recent form includes two losses in their last five matches, which could impact their performance against a strong Cetatea Suceava, who have won four of their last six games.
Gloria Bistriţa vs Cetatea Suceava: model vs market
| Source | Gloria Bistriţa | Draw | Cetatea Suceava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 28% | 44% |
| Market | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Published | 35% | 29% | 37% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cetatea Suceava below our published probability: +2.5 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.68, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Gloria Bistriţa vs Cetatea Suceava odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Cetatea Suceava, 5 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gloria Bistriţa | 2.38 | 2.46 | +0.08 |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.12 | +0.02 |
| Cetatea Suceava | 2.64 | 2.65 | +0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Gloria Bistriţa and Cetatea Suceava expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.73
- Attack rating (Gloria Bistriţa / Cetatea Suceava)
- 0.89 / 1.36
- Defence rating (Gloria Bistriţa / Cetatea Suceava)
- 0.95 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gloria Bistriţa vs Cetatea Suceava score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gloria Bistriţa goals. Columns: Cetatea Suceava goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gloria Bistriţa vs Cetatea Suceava goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gloria Bistriţa vs Cetatea Suceava
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gloria Bistriţa | 35% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | |
| Cetatea Suceava | 37% | 2.72 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.79 |
| No | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gloria Bistriţa or draw) | 63% | 1.58 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Cetatea Suceava) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | Cetatea Suceava win by 2+ | 23% | 4.35 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Gloria Bistriţa and Cetatea Suceava recent form
Gloria Bistriţa
2W 0D 4L
Cetatea Suceava
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gloria Bistriţa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-2
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cetatea Suceava away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-1
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Gloria Bistriţa at home only, Cetatea Suceava away only.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Chindia Targoviste vs Popești-Leordeni — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- Concordia v ASA Targu Mures — match page 2026-11-07
- Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa 2026-11-07
- CS Afumati vs FC Bacau — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Unirea Slobozia v CSM Satu Mare — match page 2026-11-07
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Ştefăneşti — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Bihor Oradea v Slatina — match page 2026-11-07
- FC Politehnica Timisoara v CSM Reşiţa — match page 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Gloria Bistriţa, previous: CSM Reşiţa vs Gloria Bistriţa prediction
- Cetatea Suceava, previous: Cetatea Suceava vs Bihor Oradea prediction