FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSM Reşiţa preview
In the Liga II match between FC Politehnica Timisoara and CSM Reşiţa, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Politehnica Timisoara at 59% and CSM Reşiţa at 16%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 12% chance. FC Politehnica Timisoara has an expected goals figure of 1.78, while CSM Reşiţa stands at 0.81.
While Over 2.5 goals has a probability of 48% and both teams to score is at 47%, the match could still see a low-scoring outcome if CSM Reşiţa fails to convert their chances. Recent form shows FC Politehnica Timisoara with a strong D-W-W-D-W-W record, contrasting with CSM Reşiţa's mixed results of W-L-L-W-W-L.
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSM Reşiţa: model vs market
| Source | FC Politehnica Timisoara | Draw | CSM Reşiţa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 26% |
| Published | 50% | 27% | 24% |
| Edge | +3% | 0% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Politehnica Timisoara below our published probability: +3.2 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the 3 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSM Reşiţa odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Politehnica Timisoara, 5 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Politehnica Timisoara | 1.76 | 1.93 | +0.17 |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.32 | -0.18 |
| CSM Reşiţa | 4.34 | 3.39 | -0.95 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FC Politehnica Timisoara and CSM Reşiţa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.59
- Attack rating (FC Politehnica Timisoara / CSM Reşiţa)
- 1.25 / 0.89
- Defence rating (FC Politehnica Timisoara / CSM Reşiţa)
- 0.76 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSM Reşiţa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Politehnica Timisoara goals. Columns: CSM Reşiţa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSM Reşiţa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Politehnica Timisoara vs CSM Reşiţa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 50% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.77 | |
| CSM Reşiţa | 24% | 4.21 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.09 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Politehnica Timisoara or draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or CSM Reşiţa) | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara win by 2+ | 35% | 2.88 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Politehnica Timisoara and CSM Reşiţa recent form
FC Politehnica Timisoara
4W 2D 0L
CSM Reşiţa
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Politehnica Timisoara at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-0
- Win rate
- 83%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CSM Reşiţa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Politehnica Timisoara at home only, CSM Reşiţa away only.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Concordia v ASA Targu Mures — match page 2026-11-07
- Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa 2026-11-07
- CS Afumati vs FC Bacau — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Unirea Slobozia v CSM Satu Mare — match page 2026-11-07
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Ştefăneşti — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Bihor Oradea v Slatina — match page 2026-11-07
- CS Dinamo București vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea 2026-11-09
- Metalul Buzău vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2026-11-10
Before and after this match
- FC Politehnica Timisoara, previous: Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara prediction
- CSM Reşiţa, previous: CSM Reşiţa vs Gloria Bistriţa prediction