Updated

Liga II · Matchday 13

CS Dinamo București vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea

· CNF Buftea

Alin prediction CS Dinamo București to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
CS Dinamo BucureștiDrawCSM Ramnicu Valcea
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

CS Dinamo București vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea preview

In the Liga II fixture between CS Dinamo București and CSM Ramnicu Valcea, the 1X2 probabilities show CS Dinamo București at 42%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (9%). The model suggests a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 67%.

CS Dinamo București's recent form is D-L-W-D-L-L, while CSM Ramnicu Valcea has W-L-L-L-W-L. The expected goals are 1.77 for CS Dinamo București and 1.58 for CSM Ramnicu Valcea. A potential factor that could affect the outcome is the confidence grade of C, indicating uncertainty in the match.

CS Dinamo București vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceCS Dinamo BucureștiDrawCSM Ramnicu Valcea
Model42%25%34%
Market———
Published42%25%34%
Edge———

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

CS Dinamo București and CSM Ramnicu Valcea expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.77CS Dinamo București
1.58CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Total expected goals
3.36
Attack rating (CS Dinamo București / CSM Ramnicu Valcea)
0.98 / 0.85
Defence rating (CS Dinamo București / CSM Ramnicu Valcea)
1.55 / 1.15

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

CS Dinamo București vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.5% 4.5% 4.4% 2.3% 1.3% 1 5.2% 10.8% 7.7% 4.1% 2.3% 2 5.5% 8.7% 6.9% 3.6% 2.0% 3 3.3% 5.1% 4.1% 2.1% 1.2% 4+ 2.2% 3.4% 2.7% 1.4% 0.8%

Rows: CS Dinamo București goals. Columns: CSM Ramnicu Valcea goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

CS Dinamo București vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 65%
Over 3.5 43%
Both teams to score
67%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for CS Dinamo București vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2CS Dinamo București42%2.40
Draw25%4.05
CSM Ramnicu Valcea34%2.98
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565%1.53
Under 2.535%2.87
Both teams to scoreYes67%1.49
No33%3.02
Double chance1X (CS Dinamo București or draw)66%1.51
12 (either side)75%1.33
X2 (draw or CSM Ramnicu Valcea)58%1.72
Handicap -1CS Dinamo București win by 2+23%4.41
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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CS Dinamo București and CSM Ramnicu Valcea recent form

CS Dinamo București 1W 2D 3L
CSM Ramnicu Valcea 2W 0D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

CS Dinamo București at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.20
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.

CSM Ramnicu Valcea away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-3
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
0.60
Goals against / match
1.60
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: CS Dinamo București at home only, CSM Ramnicu Valcea away only.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot CS Dinamo București to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on CS Dinamo București