CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati preview
In the Liga II fixture between CSM Ramnicu Valcea and CS Afumati, both teams have a 36% probability to win according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a probability of 8%. Both teams to score stands at 56%, suggesting a good chance for goals from both sides.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea's recent form shows L-L-W-L-L-W, while CS Afumati has L-L-W-W-D-W. The expected goals are close, with CSM Ramnicu Valcea at 1.33 and CS Afumati at 1.34. A factor that could influence the outcome is the inconsistency in form, particularly for CSM Ramnicu Valcea, which may affect their ability to secure a positive result.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati: model vs market
| Source | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | Draw | CS Afumati |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Published | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.57, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
CSM Ramnicu Valcea and CS Afumati expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.67
- Attack rating (CSM Ramnicu Valcea / CS Afumati)
- 0.78 / 1.04
- Defence rating (CSM Ramnicu Valcea / CS Afumati)
- 1.08 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CSM Ramnicu Valcea goals. Columns: CS Afumati goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 36% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 | |
| CS Afumati | 36% | 2.77 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.80 |
| No | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CSM Ramnicu Valcea or draw) | 64% | 1.56 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or CS Afumati) | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Afumati win by 2+ | 17% | 5.98 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CSM Ramnicu Valcea and CS Afumati recent form
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
2W 0D 4L
CS Afumati
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CSM Ramnicu Valcea at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CS Afumati away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CSM Ramnicu Valcea at home only, CS Afumati away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- CSA Steaua Bucureşti v CS Dinamo București — match page 2026-10-30
- ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr 2026-10-31
- Ştefăneşti v Chindia Targoviste — match page 2026-10-31
- Cetatea Suceava vs Bihor Oradea 2026-10-31
- FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea, previous: Metaloglobus vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea prediction
- CS Afumati, previous: CS Afumati v CSA Steaua Bucureşti analysis