CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr preview
CSM Satu Mare has a 55% chance to win against Viitorul Şelimbăr, who have only a 17% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 15% probability. CSM Satu Mare's expected goals stand at 1.51, while Viitorul Şelimbăr's is significantly lower at 0.74.
However, CSM Satu Mare's recent form shows only 1 win in their last 6 matches, with 4 draws and 1 loss. Viitorul Şelimbăr, despite losing 4 of their last 5 matches, managed a draw and a win recently. This inconsistency could affect the outcome, making it possible for the match to defy the expected results, especially in terms of Over 2.5 goals or both teams to score, which are at 39% and 42%, respectively.
CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr: model vs market
| Source | CSM Satu Mare | Draw | Viitorul Şelimbăr |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 29% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 49% | 29% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 0.86.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CSM Satu Mare and Viitorul Şelimbăr expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.29
- Attack rating (CSM Satu Mare / Viitorul Şelimbăr)
- 0.78 / 0.72
- Defence rating (CSM Satu Mare / Viitorul Şelimbăr)
- 1.00 / 1.16
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CSM Satu Mare goals. Columns: Viitorul Şelimbăr goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSM Satu Mare | 49% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 | |
| Viitorul Şelimbăr | 21% | 4.73 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40% | 2.49 |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.22 |
| No | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CSM Satu Mare or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Viitorul Şelimbăr) | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Handicap -1 | CSM Satu Mare win by 2+ | 25% | 3.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CSM Satu Mare and Viitorul Şelimbăr recent form
CSM Satu Mare
0W 4D 2L
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CSM Satu Mare at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Viitorul Şelimbăr away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-5
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CSM Satu Mare at home only, Viitorul Şelimbăr away only.
CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: CSM Satu Mare 1 · draws 1 · Viitorul Şelimbăr 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | CSM Satu Mare | 4-0 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | Liga II |
| 2025-09-20 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 1-1 | CSM Satu Mare | Liga II |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- CSA Steaua Bucureşti v CS Dinamo București — match page 2026-10-30
- ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati 2026-10-31
- Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Ştefăneşti v Chindia Targoviste — match page 2026-10-31
- Cetatea Suceava vs Bihor Oradea 2026-10-31
- FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- CSM Satu Mare, previous: Chindia Targoviste vs CSM Satu Mare: odds and pick
- Viitorul Şelimbăr, previous: Viitorul Şelimbăr – ASA Targu Mures, 2026-10-25