FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus preview
In the Liga II fixture, FC Bacau has a 64% chance to win against Metaloglobus, who have only a 13% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with FC Bacau's expected goals of 1.96 compared to Metaloglobus's 0.79.
However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. Both teams to score stands at 48%, suggesting that while FC Bacau is favored, Metaloglobus could still find the net. Additionally, the 52% probability for Over 2.5 goals means there is potential for more goals if both teams perform unexpectedly well.
FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus: model vs market
| Source | FC Bacau | Draw | Metaloglobus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64% | 23% | 13% |
| Market | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Published | 52% | 26% | 21% |
| Edge | +4% | -1% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Bacau below our published probability: +3.7 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.90, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FC Bacau and Metaloglobus expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.74
- Attack rating (FC Bacau / Metaloglobus)
- 1.19 / 0.84
- Defence rating (FC Bacau / Metaloglobus)
- 0.79 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Bacau goals. Columns: Metaloglobus goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Bacau | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 | |
| Metaloglobus | 21% | 4.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.09 |
| No | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Bacau or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Metaloglobus) | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Bacau win by 2+ | 40% | 2.53 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Bacau and Metaloglobus recent form
FC Bacau
3W 1D 2L
Metaloglobus
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Bacau at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.83
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Metaloglobus away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Bacau at home only, Metaloglobus away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- CSA Steaua Bucureşti v CS Dinamo București — match page 2026-10-30
- ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati 2026-10-31
- Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr 2026-10-31
- Ştefăneşti v Chindia Targoviste — match page 2026-10-31
- Cetatea Suceava vs Bihor Oradea 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- FC Bacau, previous: FC Politehnica Timisoara – FC Bacau, 2026-10-24
- Metaloglobus, previous: Metaloglobus vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea prediction