Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara preview
Dumbrăviţa faces FC Politehnica Timisoara with a 67% chance of an away win, while Dumbrăviţa has only an 11% chance to win. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which aligns with FC Politehnica Timisoara's expected goals of 1.96 compared to Dumbrăviţa's 0.65.
Dumbrăviţa's recent form is concerning, with six consecutive losses. This poor performance could lead to a different outcome if they manage to improve their play. The chances for Over 2.5 goals sit at 48%, and both teams to score is at 42%, indicating potential for a more competitive match than the statistics suggest.
Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara: model vs market
| Source | Dumbrăviţa | Draw | FC Politehnica Timisoara |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11% | 22% | 67% |
| Market | 10% | 18% | 72% |
| Published | 10% | 19% | 71% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.65.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.28, recorded — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Dumbrăviţa and FC Politehnica Timisoara expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.61
- Attack rating (Dumbrăviţa / FC Politehnica Timisoara)
- 0.60 / 1.23
- Defence rating (Dumbrăviţa / FC Politehnica Timisoara)
- 1.34 / 0.68
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dumbrăviţa goals. Columns: FC Politehnica Timisoara goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dumbrăviţa | 10% | 9.89 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.19 | |
| FC Politehnica Timisoara | 71% | 1.42 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.07 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.94 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.38 |
| No | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dumbrăviţa or draw) | 29% | 3.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Politehnica Timisoara) | 90% | 1.11 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Politehnica Timisoara win by 2+ | 43% | 2.35 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dumbrăviţa and FC Politehnica Timisoara recent form
Dumbrăviţa
0W 0D 6L
FC Politehnica Timisoara
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dumbrăviţa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Politehnica Timisoara away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dumbrăviţa at home only, FC Politehnica Timisoara away only.
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Before and after this match
- Dumbrăviţa, previous: Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa prediction
- FC Politehnica Timisoara, previous: FC Politehnica Timisoara – FC Bacau, 2026-10-24