ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia preview
In the Liga II fixture, ASA Targu Mures has a 44% chance to win against Unirea Slobozia's 30%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. The model suggests a strong likelihood for Over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
ASA Targu Mures has expected goals of 1.66, while Unirea Slobozia sits at 1.34. Recent form shows ASA Targu Mures with two losses and a win in their last five matches, while Unirea Slobozia has one win in their last five. If ASA Targu Mures's form does not improve or if Unirea Slobozia performs better than expected, the predictions could change.
ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia: model vs market
| Source | ASA Targu Mures | Draw | Unirea Slobozia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Published | 43% | 28% | 28% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
ASA Targu Mures and Unirea Slobozia expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.82
- Attack rating (ASA Targu Mures / Unirea Slobozia)
- 1.03 / 0.91
- Defence rating (ASA Targu Mures / Unirea Slobozia)
- 1.22 / 0.93
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: ASA Targu Mures goals. Columns: Unirea Slobozia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ASA Targu Mures | 43% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 | |
| Unirea Slobozia | 28% | 3.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.72 |
| No | 42% | 2.38 | |
| Double chance | 1X (ASA Targu Mures or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Unirea Slobozia) | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Handicap -1 | ASA Targu Mures win by 2+ | 21% | 4.87 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
ASA Targu Mures and Unirea Slobozia recent form
ASA Targu Mures
2W 1D 3L
Unirea Slobozia
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
ASA Targu Mures at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Unirea Slobozia away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: ASA Targu Mures at home only, Unirea Slobozia away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- CSA Steaua Bucureşti v CS Dinamo București — match page 2026-10-30
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati 2026-10-31
- Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr 2026-10-31
- Ştefăneşti v Chindia Targoviste — match page 2026-10-31
- Cetatea Suceava vs Bihor Oradea 2026-10-31
- FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- ASA Targu Mures, previous: Viitorul Şelimbăr – ASA Targu Mures, 2026-10-25
- Unirea Slobozia, previous: Unirea Slobozia vs Concordia prediction