Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău preview
In the Liga II fixture between Popești-Leordeni and Metalul Buzău, the 1X2 probabilities show Popești-Leordeni at 40% to win, while both a draw and a Metalul Buzău win are at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% chance according to our model.
Popești-Leordeni has an expected goals figure of 1.31 compared to Metalul Buzău's 1.10. While there is a 43% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance for both teams to score, these could change the outcome if either team exceeds expectations. Recent form also indicates Popești-Leordeni has won 4 of their last 6 matches, while Metalul Buzău has a solid run with 4 wins in their last 6.
Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău: model vs market
| Source | Popești-Leordeni | Draw | Metalul Buzău |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 31% |
| Published | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Popești-Leordeni and Metalul Buzău expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.41
- Attack rating (Popești-Leordeni / Metalul Buzău)
- 1.51 / 0.97
- Defence rating (Popești-Leordeni / Metalul Buzău)
- 0.96 / 0.55
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Popești-Leordeni goals. Columns: Metalul Buzău goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Popești-Leordeni | 40% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Metalul Buzău | 31% | 3.24 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.99 |
| No | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Popești-Leordeni or draw) | 69% | 1.45 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Metalul Buzău) | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Handicap -1 | Popești-Leordeni win by 2+ | 19% | 5.34 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Popești-Leordeni and Metalul Buzău recent form
Popești-Leordeni
5W 0D 1L
Metalul Buzău
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Popești-Leordeni at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 3.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Metalul Buzău away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Popești-Leordeni at home only, Metalul Buzău away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- CSA Steaua Bucureşti v CS Dinamo București — match page 2026-10-30
- ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati 2026-10-31
- Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr 2026-10-31
- Ştefăneşti v Chindia Targoviste — match page 2026-10-31
- Cetatea Suceava vs Bihor Oradea 2026-10-31
- FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus — team news & stats 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Popești-Leordeni, previous: CS Dinamo București v Popești-Leordeni analysis
- Metalul Buzău, previous: Metalul Buzău vs Ştefăneşti: odds and pick