Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa preview
In the Liga II fixture between Metaloglobus and Dumbrăviţa, the 1X2 probabilities show Metaloglobus at 71%, while Dumbrăviţa sits at just 10%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Metaloglobus's expected goals of 2.28 compared to Dumbrăviţa's 0.75.
However, Dumbrăviţa's recent form includes six matches without a win, while Metaloglobus has two wins in their last three games. This could impact the expected outcome. Additionally, there's a 58% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance for both teams to score, indicating potential for more action than anticipated.
Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa: model vs market
| Source | Metaloglobus | Draw | Dumbrăviţa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| Market | 65% | 22% | 13% |
| Published | 67% | 21% | 12% |
| Edge | +1% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 0.75.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.42, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Metaloglobus, 5 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metaloglobus | 1.42 | 1.39 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 4.20 | 4.20 | +0.00 |
| Dumbrăviţa | 7.12 | 6.82 | -0.30 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Metaloglobus and Dumbrăviţa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.03
- Attack rating (Metaloglobus / Dumbrăviţa)
- 1.08 / 0.69
- Defence rating (Metaloglobus / Dumbrăviţa)
- 0.91 / 1.34
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Metaloglobus goals. Columns: Dumbrăviţa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metaloglobus | 67% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.78 | |
| Dumbrăviţa | 12% | 8.05 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.08 |
| No | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Metaloglobus or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Dumbrăviţa) | 33% | 3.00 | |
| Handicap -1 | Metaloglobus win by 2+ | 48% | 2.07 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Metaloglobus and Dumbrăviţa recent form
Metaloglobus
3W 2D 1L
Dumbrăviţa
0W 1D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Metaloglobus at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dumbrăviţa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.80
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 0 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Metaloglobus at home only, Dumbrăviţa away only.
Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Metaloglobus 3 · draws 1 · Dumbrăviţa 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-02 | Dumbrăviţa | 0-2 | Metaloglobus | Liga II |
| 2024-04-27 | Dumbrăviţa | 0-2 | Metaloglobus | Liga II |
| 2023-09-30 | Dumbrăviţa | 1-1 | Metaloglobus | Liga II |
| 2022-10-08 | Metaloglobus | 1-0 | Dumbrăviţa | Liga II |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Chindia Targoviste vs Popești-Leordeni — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- Concordia v ASA Targu Mures — match page 2026-11-07
- CS Afumati vs FC Bacau — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Unirea Slobozia v CSM Satu Mare — match page 2026-11-07
- Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Ştefăneşti — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Gloria Bistriţa vs Cetatea Suceava — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Bihor Oradea v Slatina — match page 2026-11-07
- FC Politehnica Timisoara v CSM Reşiţa — match page 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Metaloglobus, previous: FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus: odds and pick
- Dumbrăviţa, previous: Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara prediction