Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Ştefăneşti preview
In the Liga II fixture between Viitorul Şelimbăr and Ştefăneşti, the 1X2 probabilities show Viitorul Şelimbăr at 57%, while Ştefăneşti sits at 17%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% chance. Viitorul Şelimbăr has an expected goals figure of 1.65 compared to Ştefăneşti's 0.79, indicating a potential edge in attack.
However, both teams are struggling with recent form, as Viitorul Şelimbăr has lost 4 of their last 6 matches, and Ştefăneşti has also lost all 6 of their recent games. This could impact the outcome, making it possible for either team to underperform. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals stand at 44%, and both teams to score is at 45%, suggesting a low-scoring match is likely.
Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Ştefăneşti: model vs market
| Source | Viitorul Şelimbăr | Draw | Ştefăneşti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| Published | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Ştefăneşti odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Viitorul Şelimbăr, 5 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Viitorul Şelimbăr | 1.65 | 1.69 | +0.04 |
| Draw | 3.52 | 3.51 | -0.01 |
| Ştefăneşti | 4.45 | 4.43 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Viitorul Şelimbăr and Ştefăneşti expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.45
- Attack rating (Viitorul Şelimbăr / Ştefăneşti)
- 0.64 / 0.55
- Defence rating (Viitorul Şelimbăr / Ştefăneşti)
- 1.21 / 1.63
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Ştefăneşti score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Viitorul Şelimbăr goals. Columns: Ştefăneşti goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Ştefăneşti goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Viitorul Şelimbăr vs Ştefăneşti
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 54% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | |
| Ştefăneşti | 20% | 5.12 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.26 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.20 |
| No | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Viitorul Şelimbăr or draw) | 80% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Ştefăneşti) | 46% | 2.20 | |
| Handicap -1 | Viitorul Şelimbăr win by 2+ | 32% | 3.13 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Viitorul Şelimbăr and Ştefăneşti recent form
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1W 0D 5L
Ştefăneşti
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Viitorul Şelimbăr at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ştefăneşti away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-6
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.17
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 12 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Viitorul Şelimbăr at home only, Ştefăneşti away only.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Chindia Targoviste vs Popești-Leordeni — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- Concordia v ASA Targu Mures — match page 2026-11-07
- Metaloglobus vs Dumbrăviţa 2026-11-07
- CS Afumati vs FC Bacau — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Unirea Slobozia v CSM Satu Mare — match page 2026-11-07
- Gloria Bistriţa vs Cetatea Suceava — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Bihor Oradea v Slatina — match page 2026-11-07
- FC Politehnica Timisoara v CSM Reşiţa — match page 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Viitorul Şelimbăr, previous: CSM Satu Mare – Viitorul Şelimbăr, 2026-10-31
- Ştefăneşti, previous: Ştefăneşti v Chindia Targoviste analysis