CSM Reşiţa vs Gloria Bistriţa preview
In the Liga II fixture on 2026-11-01, CSM Reşiţa has a 40% chance to win against Gloria Bistriţa, who has a 31% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 10% probability. While both teams to score stands at 53%, the expected goals suggest a tighter contest, with CSM Reşiţa at 1.37 and Gloria Bistriţa at 1.17.
CSM Reşiţa's recent form shows 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Gloria Bistriţa has also secured 3 wins in their last 5. The head-to-head record favors CSM Reşiţa, who won the last encounter. However, if Gloria Bistriţa finds their scoring touch, the match could see more goals than anticipated, impacting the Over 2.5 goals statistic, which is currently at 46%.
CSM Reşiţa vs Gloria Bistriţa: model vs market
| Source | CSM Reşiţa | Draw | Gloria Bistriţa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
| Published | 51% | 26% | 24% |
| Edge | -3% | +1% | +2% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the 3 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
CSM Reşiţa vs Gloria Bistriţa odds movement
Median bookmaker price on CSM Reşiţa, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSM Reşiţa | 1.73 | 1.69 | -0.04 |
| Draw | 3.83 | 3.75 | -0.08 |
| Gloria Bistriţa | 4.12 | 4.20 | +0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
CSM Reşiţa and Gloria Bistriţa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.53
- Attack rating (CSM Reşiţa / Gloria Bistriţa)
- 0.90 / 0.97
- Defence rating (CSM Reşiţa / Gloria Bistriţa)
- 1.01 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CSM Reşiţa vs Gloria Bistriţa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CSM Reşiţa goals. Columns: Gloria Bistriţa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CSM Reşiţa vs Gloria Bistriţa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CSM Reşiţa vs Gloria Bistriţa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CSM Reşiţa | 51% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.92 | |
| Gloria Bistriţa | 24% | 4.17 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| No | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CSM Reşiţa or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Gloria Bistriţa) | 49% | 2.02 | |
| Handicap -1 | CSM Reşiţa win by 2+ | 19% | 5.19 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CSM Reşiţa and Gloria Bistriţa recent form
CSM Reşiţa
3W 0D 3L
Gloria Bistriţa
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CSM Reşiţa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-2
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Gloria Bistriţa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CSM Reşiţa at home only, Gloria Bistriţa away only.
CSM Reşiţa vs Gloria Bistriţa head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: CSM Reşiţa 1 · draws 0 · Gloria Bistriţa 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-20 | CSM Reşiţa | 2-1 | Gloria Bistriţa | Liga II |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- ASA Targu Mures vs Unirea Slobozia — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CS Afumati 2026-10-31
- Popești-Leordeni vs Metalul Buzău — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Dumbrăviţa vs FC Politehnica Timisoara — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- CSM Satu Mare vs Viitorul Şelimbăr 2026-10-31
- Ştefăneşti v Chindia Targoviste — match page 2026-10-31
- FC Bacau vs Metaloglobus — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Slatina vs Concordia 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- CSM Reşiţa, previous: Bihor Oradea vs CSM Reşiţa: odds and pick
- Gloria Bistriţa, previous: Gloria Bistriţa vs Dumbrăviţa prediction