Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood preview
In the match between Al-Faisaly FC and Al Kholood, the 1X2 probabilities show Al-Faisaly FC at 36%, a draw at 30%, and Al Kholood at 35%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 9% chance according to our model. Al-Faisaly FC has struggled recently, recording five games without a win (L-D-D-L-D-L), while Al Kholood has shown some improvement with two wins in their last five (L-L-W-D-W-D).
The expected goals are close, with Al-Faisaly FC at 1.26 and Al Kholood at 1.24. There is a 46% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance for both teams to score. A low-scoring game could make the 1X2 pick less reliable, as both teams have been inconsistent in their recent performances.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood: model vs market
| Source | Al-Faisaly FC | Draw | Al Kholood |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 30% | 35% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 36% | 30% | 35% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Al-Faisaly FC and Al Kholood expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.50
- Attack rating (Al-Faisaly FC / Al Kholood)
- 0.68 / 0.79
- Defence rating (Al-Faisaly FC / Al Kholood)
- 1.10 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al-Faisaly FC goals. Columns: Al Kholood goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Kholood
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al-Faisaly FC | 36% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.38 | |
| Al Kholood | 35% | 2.87 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.92 |
| No | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al-Faisaly FC or draw) | 65% | 1.54 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Al Kholood) | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Faisaly FC win by 2+ | 16% | 6.24 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Al-Faisaly FC and Al Kholood recent form
Al-Faisaly FC
0W 3D 3L
Al Kholood
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al-Faisaly FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Al Kholood away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 56% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al-Faisaly FC at home only, Al Kholood away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Al Khaleej Saihat v Al-Fayha — match page 2026-10-15
- Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh 2026-10-15
- Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr — team news & stats 2026-10-15
- Al-Qadisiyah FC v Abha — match page 2026-10-16
- Al Riyadh v Al-Hilal Saudi FC — match page 2026-10-16
- Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab — team news & stats 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- Al-Faisaly FC, previous: Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC prediction
- Al Kholood, previous: Al Kholood – Al-Qadisiyah FC, 2026-10-09