Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fayha preview
In the upcoming match between Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Fayha, the 1X2 probabilities show Al Khaleej Saihat at 28%, a draw at 32%, and Al-Fayha at 40%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a probability of 12%. Al-Fayha's expected goals stand at 1.22, compared to Al Khaleej Saihat's 0.97, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
While the model suggests a low chance for Over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams to score at 45%, factors like recent form could influence the outcome. Al Khaleej Saihat has drawn three of their last six matches, while Al-Fayha has a mixed record with two draws and one win in their last six.
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fayha: model vs market
| Source | Al Khaleej Saihat | Draw | Al-Fayha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 32% | 41% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 28% | 32% | 41% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Fayha expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.19
- Attack rating (Al Khaleej Saihat / Al-Fayha)
- 0.60 / 0.73
- Defence rating (Al Khaleej Saihat / Al-Fayha)
- 1.17 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fayha score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al Khaleej Saihat goals. Columns: Al-Fayha goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fayha goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fayha
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 28% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.17 | |
| Al-Fayha | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.22 |
| No | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al Khaleej Saihat or draw) | 59% | 1.69 |
| 12 (either side) | 68% | 1.46 | |
| X2 (draw or Al-Fayha) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al-Fayha win by 2+ | 18% | 5.41 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Fayha recent form
Al Khaleej Saihat
0W 4D 2L
Al-Fayha
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al Khaleej Saihat at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Al-Fayha away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al Khaleej Saihat at home only, Al-Fayha away only.
Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fayha head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Al Khaleej Saihat 1 · draws 0 · Al-Fayha 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | Al-Fayha | 3-1 | Al Khaleej Saihat | Saudi Arabia Pro League |
| 2025-09-13 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 3-0 | Al-Fayha | Saudi Arabia Pro League |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
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- Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh 2026-10-15
- Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr — team news & stats 2026-10-15
- Al-Qadisiyah FC v Abha — match page 2026-10-16
- Al Riyadh v Al-Hilal Saudi FC — match page 2026-10-16
- Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab — team news & stats 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- Al Khaleej Saihat, previous: Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat: odds and pick
- Al-Fayha, previous: Al-Fayha v Al Riyadh analysis