Updated

Saudi Arabia Pro League · Matchday 8

Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat

· Al Ettifaq Club Stadium, Daman· Referee Faisal Alblwi

Full time1 – 1

Alin prediction was Al-Ettifaq to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 2 – 0

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Al-EttifaqDrawAl Khaleej Saihat

Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAl-EttifaqDrawAl Khaleej Saihat
Model62%23%15%
Market48%26%27%
Published51%25%24%
Edge+4%-1%-3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 0.86.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Al-Ettifaq below our published probability: +3.5 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Al-Ettifaq, 13 snapshots since 2026-10-04.

Opened 1.98Now 1.94 -0.04
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Al-Ettifaq1.981.94-0.04
Draw3.633.61-0.02
Al Khaleej Saihat3.383.42+0.05

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Al-Ettifaq and Al Khaleej Saihat expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.94Al-Ettifaq
0.86Al Khaleej Saihat
Total expected goals
2.80
Attack rating (Al-Ettifaq / Al Khaleej Saihat)
1.06 / 0.60
Defence rating (Al-Ettifaq / Al Khaleej Saihat)
1.00 / 1.18

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 7.1% 4.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2% 1 10.8% 11.2% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 2 11.4% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 3 7.4% 6.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 4+ 5.6% 4.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%

Rows: Al-Ettifaq goals. Columns: Al Khaleej Saihat goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 53%
Over 3.5 31%
Both teams to score
50%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Al-Ettifaq51%1.96
Draw25%4.00
Al Khaleej Saihat24%4.18
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553%1.89
Under 2.547%2.13
Both teams to scoreYes50%1.98
No50%2.02
Double chance1X (Al-Ettifaq or draw)76%1.31
12 (either side)75%1.33
X2 (draw or Al Khaleej Saihat)49%2.04
Handicap -1Al-Ettifaq win by 2+38%2.64
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Al-Ettifaq and Al Khaleej Saihat recent form

Al-Ettifaq 2W 2D 2L
Al Khaleej Saihat 0W 4D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Al-Ettifaq at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Al Khaleej Saihat away

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.33
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Al-Ettifaq at home only, Al Khaleej Saihat away only.

Expected lineups

Al-Ettifaq lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 1 M. Rodák
  2. 5 Pedro Henrique
  3. 61 Radhi Al Otaibi
  4. 33 Madallah Al Olayan
  5. 70 Abdullah Khateeb
  6. 42 A. Kanté
  7. 10 Álvaro Medrán
  8. 7 Khalid Al Ghannam
  9. 17 J. Larsson
  10. 43 B. Celina
  11. 9 M. Dembélé

Bench: Abdullah Madu, Meshal Al Alaeli, Riyadh Sharahili, Yasir Shammari, M. Gluščević, Abdulelah, Marzouq Tambakti, Turki Ba Al Jawsh, Saud Haroun

Al Khaleej Saihat lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 49 A. Moris
  2. 5 Pedro Rebocho
  3. 4 K. Kouyaté
  4. 3 Mohammed Al Khabrani
  5. 27 Fawaz Al Saqour
  6. 11 Saleh Al Amri
  7. 8 Omar Mascarell
  8. 12 Majed Kanabah
  9. 18 Nawaf Al Saadi
  10. 19 Miguel Crespo
  11. 9 M. Benegas

Bench: J. King, Ahmad Asiri, Ali Al Shaafi, Abdullah Al Hafith, Saeed Al Hamsal, Thamer Al Khaibri, Marwan Al Haidari, S. Al Dossary, M. Barrow

Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej Saihat head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Al-Ettifaq 7 · draws 1 · Al Khaleej Saihat 2.

Al-EttifaqDrawsAl Khaleej Saihat
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-09Al Khaleej Saihat0-5Al-EttifaqSaudi Arabia Pro League
2026-01-12Al-Ettifaq1-2Al Khaleej SaihatSaudi Arabia Pro League
2025-05-02Al-Ettifaq2-1Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
2024-12-07Al Khaleej Saihat1-2Al-EttifaqPro League
2024-02-15Al Khaleej Saihat0-2Al-EttifaqPro League
2023-08-24Al-Ettifaq1-1Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
2023-05-02Al Khaleej Saihat2-1Al-EttifaqPro League
2022-12-25Al-Ettifaq1-0Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
2017-04-08Al-Ettifaq3-1Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
2016-11-19Al Khaleej Saihat1-2Al-EttifaqPro League

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match