Queen's Park vs Livingston preview
In the Scotland Championship fixture between Queen's Park and Livingston, the 1X2 probabilities show Queen's Park at 15%, a draw at 28%, and Livingston at 57%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which has a 16% chance of occurring.
Queen's Park's recent form includes four losses and one win, while Livingston has two wins and three draws in their last six matches. The expected goals indicate Queen's Park at 0.68 and Livingston at 1.54. With both teams to score at 40% and Over 2.5 goals at 38%, the match could still see different outcomes if Queen's Park manages to improve its attacking performance.
Queen's Park vs Livingston: model vs market
| Source | Queen's Park | Draw | Livingston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15% | 28% | 57% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 15% | 28% | 57% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Queen's Park and Livingston expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.22
- Attack rating (Queen's Park / Livingston)
- 0.64 / 1.11
- Defence rating (Queen's Park / Livingston)
- 1.28 / 0.81
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Queen's Park vs Livingston score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Queen's Park goals. Columns: Livingston goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Queen's Park vs Livingston goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Queen's Park vs Livingston
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Queen's Park | 15% | 6.54 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.58 | |
| Livingston | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.62 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.51 |
| No | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Queen's Park or draw) | 43% | 2.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Livingston) | 85% | 1.18 | |
| Handicap -1 | Livingston win by 2+ | 31% | 3.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Queen's Park and Livingston recent form
Queen's Park
1W 0D 5L
Livingston
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Queen's Park at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-5
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 0.71
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 2 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 14 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Livingston away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-2
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Queen's Park at home only, Livingston away only.
Queen's Park vs Livingston head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Queen's Park 0 · draws 0 · Livingston 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Livingston | 2-0 | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship |
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Before and after this match
- Queen's Park, previous: Stenhousemuir vs Queen's Park: odds and pick
- Queen's Park, next: Queen's Park vs Spartans: odds and pick
- Livingston, previous: Livingston vs Morton: odds and pick
- Livingston, next: Clydebank vs Livingston: odds and pick