Updated

Scotland FA Cup · Round of 64

Clydebank vs Livingston

Alin prediction Clydebank to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
ClydebankDrawLivingston
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.87.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Clydebank vs Livingston preview

Clydebank faces Livingston with a 51% chance of winning compared to 21% for Livingston, according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% probability. Clydebank has an expected goals figure of 1.50, while Livingston sits at 0.87.

Both teams to score stands at 46%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 42%. This indicates that while Clydebank may have the upper hand, there’s a possibility of a low-scoring match. If Livingston improves their attack or if Clydebank's defense falters, the predicted outcomes could shift.

Clydebank vs Livingston: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceClydebankDrawLivingston
Model51%29%21%
Market———
Published51%29%21%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Clydebank and Livingston expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.50Clydebank
0.87Livingston
Total expected goals
2.36
Attack rating (Clydebank / Livingston)
1.23 / 0.85
Defence rating (Clydebank / Livingston)
0.67 / 0.64

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Clydebank vs Livingston score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.7% 6.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.3% 1 12.9% 13.4% 5.3% 1.5% 0.4% 2 10.6% 9.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 3 5.3% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 4+ 2.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Clydebank goals. Columns: Livingston goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Clydebank vs Livingston goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 89%
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 42%
Over 3.5 21%
Both teams to score
46%
No goals (0–0)
11%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Clydebank vs Livingston

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Clydebank51%1.97
Draw29%3.49
Livingston21%4.87
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542%2.38
Under 2.558%1.72
Both teams to scoreYes46%2.17
No54%1.86
Double chance1X (Clydebank or draw)79%1.26
12 (either side)71%1.40
X2 (draw or Livingston)49%2.03
Handicap -1Clydebank win by 2+27%3.76
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Clydebank and Livingston recent form

Clydebank 4W 0D 2L
Livingston 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Clydebank at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
0 of 1

League matches this season before kick-off: Clydebank at home only, Livingston away only.

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Clydebank to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Clydebank