Peterhead vs Edinburgh City preview
In the FA Cup match between Peterhead and Edinburgh City, the 1X2 probabilities show Peterhead at 44%, a draw at 22%, and Edinburgh City at 34%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% chance. The model suggests a strong likelihood for Over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams to score at 75%.
Peterhead's expected goals stand at 2.13, while Edinburgh City has 1.85. While these figures indicate a high-scoring match, the confidence grade is C, which suggests potential unpredictability in the outcome. A shift in either team's recent form could influence the match dynamics significantly.
Peterhead vs Edinburgh City: model vs market
| Source | Peterhead | Draw | Edinburgh City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 22% | 34% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 44% | 22% | 34% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Peterhead and Edinburgh City expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.98
- Attack rating (Peterhead / Edinburgh City)
- 1.33 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Peterhead / Edinburgh City)
- 1.20 / 0.85
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Peterhead vs Edinburgh City score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Peterhead goals. Columns: Edinburgh City goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Peterhead vs Edinburgh City goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 75%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Peterhead vs Edinburgh City
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Peterhead | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.54 | |
| Edinburgh City | 34% | 2.98 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76% | 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 | 24% | 4.16 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75% | 1.33 |
| No | 25% | 4.01 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Peterhead or draw) | 66% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Edinburgh City) | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Handicap -1 | Peterhead win by 2+ | 26% | 3.83 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Peterhead and Edinburgh City recent form
Peterhead
1W 1D 1L
Edinburgh City
2W 1D 2L
Last 3 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
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