Ross County vs Brora Rangers Prediction & Betting Tips 28/11/2026

Ross County vs Brora Rangers preview

In the FA Cup match between Ross County and Brora Rangers, the 1X2 probabilities show Brora Rangers at 55%, compared to Ross County at 21%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-2, which occurs with a 10% probability.

Both teams to score stands at 60%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 61%. Ross County's expected goals are 1.16, while Brora Rangers have a higher figure of 1.97. Ross County's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance against a more consistent Brora Rangers side, who have won 4 of their last 6 games.

Ross County vs Brora Rangers: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Ross County	Draw	Brora Rangers
Model	21%	24%	55%
Market	—	—	—
Published	21%	24%	55%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.16.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Ross County and Brora Rangers expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.16Ross County

1.97Brora Rangers

Total expected goals: 3.13
Attack rating (Ross County / Brora Rangers): 0.80 / 1.38
Defence rating (Ross County / Brora Rangers): 0.93 / 0.76

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Ross County vs Brora Rangers score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.4% 7.6% 8.5% 5.6% 4.3% 1 4.1% 11.0% 9.8% 6.5% 5.0% 2 2.9% 5.8% 5.7% 3.7% 2.9% 3 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 1.4% 1.1% 4+ 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.4%

Rows: Ross County goals. Columns: Brora Rangers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Ross County vs Brora Rangers goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%

Over 1.5 83%

Over 2.5 61%

Over 3.5 38%

Both teams to score: 60%
No goals (0–0): 5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Ross County vs Brora Rangers

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Ross County	21%	4.74
	Draw	24%	4.21
	Brora Rangers	55%	1.81
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	61%	1.65
	Under 2.5	39%	2.53
Both teams to score	Yes	60%	1.66
	No	40%	2.50
Double chance	1X (Ross County or draw)	45%	2.23
	12 (either side)	76%	1.31
	X2 (draw or Brora Rangers)	79%	1.27
Handicap -1	Brora Rangers win by 2+	33%	3.02
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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