Raith Rovers vs Partick preview
In the Scotland Championship fixture between Raith Rovers and Partick, the 1X2 probabilities show Raith Rovers at 37%, a draw at 36%, and Partick at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 15%.
Raith Rovers have an expected goals figure of 0.98, while Partick's is lower at 0.81. Both teams to score has a probability of 36%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 27%. Recent form indicates Raith Rovers have D-W-L-D-W-W, while Partick has W-L-W-D-W-W. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
Raith Rovers vs Partick: model vs market
| Source | Raith Rovers | Draw | Partick |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 36% | 28% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 37% | 36% | 28% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Raith Rovers and Partick expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.79
- Attack rating (Raith Rovers / Partick)
- 1.16 / 1.12
- Defence rating (Raith Rovers / Partick)
- 0.67 / 0.65
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Raith Rovers vs Partick score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Raith Rovers goals. Columns: Partick goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Raith Rovers vs Partick goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 36%
- No goals (0–0)
- 18%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Raith Rovers vs Partick
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raith Rovers | 37% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 36% | 2.82 | |
| Partick | 28% | 3.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27% | 3.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 73% | 1.36 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36% | 2.78 |
| No | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Raith Rovers or draw) | 72% | 1.38 |
| 12 (either side) | 64% | 1.55 | |
| X2 (draw or Partick) | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Handicap -1 | Raith Rovers win by 2+ | 14% | 6.95 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Raith Rovers and Partick recent form
Raith Rovers
3W 2D 1L
Partick
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Raith Rovers at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-2
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 0.71
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 7
- They have won 7 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 14 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Partick away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-1
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.57
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Raith Rovers at home only, Partick away only.
Raith Rovers vs Partick head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Raith Rovers 3 · draws 4 · Partick 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Partick | 0-0 | Raith Rovers | Scotland Championship |
| 2026-03-24 | Raith Rovers | 0-2 | Partick | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-12-20 | Partick | 0-0 | Raith Rovers | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-10-25 | Raith Rovers | 2-0 | Partick | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-08-30 | Partick | 3-2 | Raith Rovers | Scotland Championship |
| 2025-03-21 | Partick | 0-0 | Raith Rovers | Championship |
| 2025-02-15 | Raith Rovers | 3-0 | Partick | Championship |
| 2024-11-09 | Partick | 1-1 | Raith Rovers | Championship |
| 2024-08-10 | Raith Rovers | 1-0 | Partick | Championship |
| 2024-05-17 | Raith Rovers | 1-2 | Partick | Premiership |
Other Matchday 16 fixtures
- Inverness CT vs Ayr Utd — team news & stats 2026-11-20
- Dunfermline v Morton — match page 2026-11-21
- Arbroath vs Stenhousemuir — team news & stats 2026-11-21
- Queen's Park vs Livingston 2026-11-21
Before and after this match
- Raith Rovers, previous: Ayr Utd – Raith Rovers, 2026-11-14
- Raith Rovers, next: Troon FC v Raith Rovers analysis
- Partick, previous: Partick vs Inverness CT prediction
- Partick, next: Elgin City – Partick, 2026-11-28