Updated

Premier Soccer League · Matchday 10Postponed

Chippa United vs Sekhukhune United

· Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium, Port Elizabeth

Alin prediction Sekhukhune United to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

14% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Chippa UnitedDrawSekhukhune United
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Chippa United vs Sekhukhune United: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceChippa UnitedDrawSekhukhune United
Model29%35%37%
Market———
Published29%35%37%
Edge———

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Chippa United and Sekhukhune United expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.02Chippa United
0.93Sekhukhune United
Total expected goals
1.94
Attack rating (Chippa United / Sekhukhune United)
0.80 / 1.06
Defence rating (Chippa United / Sekhukhune United)
0.94 / 1.10

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Chippa United vs Sekhukhune United score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 15.7% 11.9% 6.2% 1.9% 0.5% 1 13.2% 14.8% 6.3% 1.9% 0.5% 2 7.4% 6.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 3 2.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 4+ 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Chippa United goals. Columns: Sekhukhune United goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Chippa United vs Sekhukhune United goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 84%
Over 1.5 59%
Over 2.5 31%
Over 3.5 13%
Both teams to score
38%
No goals (0–0)
16%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Chippa United vs Sekhukhune United

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Chippa United29%3.48
Draw35%2.88
Sekhukhune United37%2.73
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529%3.47
Under 2.571%1.41
Both teams to scoreYes38%2.63
No62%1.61
Double chance1X (Chippa United or draw)63%1.58
12 (either side)65%1.53
X2 (draw or Sekhukhune United)71%1.40
Handicap -1Sekhukhune United win by 2+11%8.80
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Chippa United and Sekhukhune United recent form

Chippa United 2W 3D 1L
Sekhukhune United 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Chippa United at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-3-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.40
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

Sekhukhune United away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
0.80
Goals against / match
1.60
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Chippa United at home only, Sekhukhune United away only.

Chippa United vs Sekhukhune United head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Chippa United 0 · draws 1 · Sekhukhune United 1.

Chippa UnitedDrawsSekhukhune United
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-06Chippa United1-3Sekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League
2025-09-24Sekhukhune United1-1Chippa UnitedPremier Soccer League

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match