Updated

Premier Soccer League · Matchday 10Postponed

Kaizer Chiefs vs Amazulu

· FNB Stadium, Johannesburg

Alin prediction Amazulu to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Kaizer ChiefsDrawAmazulu
  • WhyBetter recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Kaizer Chiefs vs Amazulu: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceKaizer ChiefsDrawAmazulu
Model33%33%34%
Market———
Published33%33%34%
Edge———
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Kaizer Chiefs and Amazulu expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.04Kaizer Chiefs
1.05Amazulu
Total expected goals
2.10
Attack rating (Kaizer Chiefs / Amazulu)
1.07 / 1.23
Defence rating (Kaizer Chiefs / Amazulu)
0.93 / 0.85

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Kaizer Chiefs vs Amazulu score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.6% 11.6% 6.8% 2.4% 0.8% 1 11.4% 14.9% 7.1% 2.5% 0.8% 2 6.7% 7.0% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4% 3 2.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 4+ 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Kaizer Chiefs goals. Columns: Amazulu goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Kaizer Chiefs vs Amazulu goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 86%
Over 1.5 63%
Over 2.5 35%
Over 3.5 16%
Both teams to score
44%
No goals (0–0)
14%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Kaizer Chiefs vs Amazulu

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Kaizer Chiefs33%3.00
Draw33%3.06
Amazulu34%2.95
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535%2.86
Under 2.565%1.54
Both teams to scoreYes44%2.29
No56%1.77
Double chance1X (Kaizer Chiefs or draw)66%1.51
12 (either side)67%1.49
X2 (draw or Amazulu)67%1.50
Handicap -1Amazulu win by 2+14%7.24
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Kaizer Chiefs and Amazulu recent form

Kaizer Chiefs 1W 3D 2L
Amazulu 5W 0D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Kaizer Chiefs at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.75
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Amazulu away

Record (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Win rate
80%
Goals for / match
1.60
Goals against / match
1.40
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Kaizer Chiefs at home only, Amazulu away only.

Kaizer Chiefs vs Amazulu head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Kaizer Chiefs 1 · draws 1 · Amazulu 0.

Kaizer ChiefsDrawsAmazulu
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-16Amazulu0-1Kaizer ChiefsPremier Soccer League
2025-10-01Kaizer Chiefs1-1AmazuluPremier Soccer League

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match