Updated

Premier Soccer League · Matchday 10Postponed

TS Galaxy vs Durban City

· Kameelrivier Stadium, Kameelrivier

Alin prediction Durban City to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

16% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
TS GalaxyDrawDurban City
  • WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

TS Galaxy vs Durban City: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceTS GalaxyDrawDurban City
Model19%31%50%
Market———
Published19%31%50%
Edge———
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

TS Galaxy and Durban City expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.93TS Galaxy
1.19Durban City
Total expected goals
2.12
Attack rating (TS Galaxy / Durban City)
0.72 / 1.17
Defence rating (TS Galaxy / Durban City)
1.09 / 1.11

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

TS Galaxy vs Durban City score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.4% 12.9% 8.5% 3.3% 1.3% 1 9.9% 14.6% 7.9% 3.1% 1.2% 2 5.2% 6.2% 3.7% 1.4% 0.6% 3 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 4+ 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: TS Galaxy goals. Columns: Durban City goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

TS Galaxy vs Durban City goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 87%
Over 1.5 64%
Over 2.5 35%
Over 3.5 16%
Both teams to score
39%
No goals (0–0)
13%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for TS Galaxy vs Durban City

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2TS Galaxy19%5.30
Draw31%3.25
Durban City50%1.99
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534%2.94
Under 2.566%1.52
Both teams to scoreYes39%2.55
No61%1.64
Double chance1X (TS Galaxy or draw)50%2.01
12 (either side)69%1.44
X2 (draw or Durban City)81%1.23
Handicap -1Durban City win by 2+18%5.56
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

TS Galaxy and Durban City recent form

TS Galaxy 1W 2D 3L
Durban City 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

TS Galaxy at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.50
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.

Durban City away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
0.80
Goals against / match
1.60
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: TS Galaxy at home only, Durban City away only.

TS Galaxy vs Durban City head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: TS Galaxy 0 · draws 0 · Durban City 2.

TS GalaxyDrawsDurban City
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-02-13Durban City2-0TS GalaxyPremier Soccer League
2025-08-10TS Galaxy0-2Durban CityPremier Soccer League

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match