Calamocha vs Europa Fc Prediction & Betting Tips 27/10/2026

Calamocha vs Europa Fc preview

In the Copa del Rey fixture between Calamocha and Europa Fc, the 1X2 probabilities show Europa Fc at 50%, while Calamocha stands at 25%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring with a 10% chance.

The model also indicates a 58% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance for both teams to score. Calamocha's expected goals are 1.21, compared to Europa Fc's 1.80. The recent form for Europa Fc shows a draw, a loss, and a win, which could affect their performance. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.

Calamocha vs Europa Fc: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Calamocha	Draw	Europa Fc
Model	25%	25%	50%
Market	—	—	—
Published	25%	25%	50%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.21.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Calamocha and Europa Fc expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.21Calamocha

1.80Europa Fc

Total expected goals: 3.01
Attack rating (Calamocha / Europa Fc): 1.00 / 0.93
Defence rating (Calamocha / Europa Fc): 1.00 / 0.93

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Calamocha vs Europa Fc score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.0% 7.8% 8.0% 4.8% 3.2% 1 4.9% 11.8% 9.7% 5.8% 3.9% 2 3.6% 6.5% 5.9% 3.5% 2.4% 3 1.5% 2.6% 2.4% 1.4% 1.0% 4+ 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4%

Rows: Calamocha goals. Columns: Europa Fc goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Calamocha vs Europa Fc goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%

Over 1.5 81%

Over 2.5 58%

Over 3.5 36%

Both teams to score: 60%
No goals (0–0): 6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Calamocha vs Europa Fc

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Calamocha	25%	4.05
	Draw	25%	3.95
	Europa Fc	50%	2.00
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58%	1.73
	Under 2.5	42%	2.38
Both teams to score	Yes	60%	1.68
	No	40%	2.48
Double chance	1X (Calamocha or draw)	50%	2.00
	12 (either side)	75%	1.34
	X2 (draw or Europa Fc)	75%	1.33
Handicap -1	Europa Fc win by 2+	28%	3.52
	Push (exactly one goal)	22%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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