Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF preview
In the match between Mjallby AIF and Kalmar FF, the 1X2 probabilities show Mjallby AIF at 35%, draw at 33%, and Kalmar FF at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 12% chance according to our model. Mjallby AIF has an expected goals figure of 1.08, while Kalmar FF is slightly lower at 1.03.
Both teams to score stands at 44%, indicating a reasonable chance for goals from both sides. However, Mjallby AIF's recent form of L-D-L-W-D-L may impact their performance, while Kalmar FF's poor run of L-W-L-L-L-L could lead to another disappointing result. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF: model vs market
| Source | Mjallby AIF | Draw | Kalmar FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 33% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 35% | 33% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Mjallby AIF and Kalmar FF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.11
- Attack rating (Mjallby AIF / Kalmar FF)
- 0.59 / 0.70
- Defence rating (Mjallby AIF / Kalmar FF)
- 1.09 / 1.19
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Mjallby AIF goals. Columns: Kalmar FF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mjallby AIF | 35% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.07 | |
| Kalmar FF | 32% | 3.09 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.84 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.28 |
| No | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Mjallby AIF or draw) | 68% | 1.48 |
| 12 (either side) | 67% | 1.48 | |
| X2 (draw or Kalmar FF) | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | Mjallby AIF win by 2+ | 14% | 6.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Mjallby AIF and Kalmar FF recent form
Mjallby AIF
1W 2D 3L
Kalmar FF
1W 0D 5L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mjallby AIF at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-8
- Win rate
- 23%
- Goals for / match
- 0.92
- Goals against / match
- 1.62
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
- They have won 5 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kalmar FF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-10
- Win rate
- 8%
- Goals for / match
- 0.69
- Goals against / match
- 1.62
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
- They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 25 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Mjallby AIF at home only, Kalmar FF away only.
Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Mjallby AIF 1 · draws 0 · Kalmar FF 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Kalmar FF | 2-1 | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan |
| 2026-02-21 | Mjallby AIF | 2-0 | Kalmar FF | Svenska Cupen |
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Before and after this match
- Mjallby AIF, previous: Orgryte IS v Mjallby AIF analysis
- Mjallby AIF, next: Mjallby AIF v Borac Banja Luka analysis
- Kalmar FF, previous: Kalmar FF vs Gais: odds and pick