Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna preview
In the fixture between Vasteras SK FK and IF Brommapojkarna, the 1X2 probabilities show Vasteras SK FK at 48% to win, while both teams share a 26% chance of a draw or an IF Brommapojkarna victory. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% probability. The model suggests a high chance for Over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 59%.
Vasteras SK FK has an expected goals figure of 1.71 compared to IF Brommapojkarna's 1.22. Recent form indicates Vasteras SK FK has won 3 of their last 6 matches, while IF Brommapojkarna has also won 3 of their last 6 but has shown inconsistency. A potential factor that could affect the outcome is the confidence grade of C, which suggests some uncertainty in the prediction.
Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna: model vs market
| Source | Vasteras SK FK | Draw | IF Brommapojkarna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Published | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.23.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.89, recorded — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Vasteras SK FK, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasteras SK FK | 1.89 | 1.89 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.75 | +0.00 |
| IF Brommapojkarna | 3.60 | 3.60 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Vasteras SK FK and IF Brommapojkarna expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.93
- Attack rating (Vasteras SK FK / IF Brommapojkarna)
- 0.89 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Vasteras SK FK / IF Brommapojkarna)
- 0.78 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vasteras SK FK goals. Columns: IF Brommapojkarna goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasteras SK FK | 49% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 | |
| IF Brommapojkarna | 26% | 3.85 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| No | 41% | 2.44 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vasteras SK FK or draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or IF Brommapojkarna) | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vasteras SK FK win by 2+ | 26% | 3.83 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vasteras SK FK and IF Brommapojkarna recent form
Vasteras SK FK
3W 0D 3L
IF Brommapojkarna
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vasteras SK FK at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-4
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.46
- Goals against / match
- 1.15
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 13
- They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
IF Brommapojkarna away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-5
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.85
- Goals against / match
- 2.15
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
- They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vasteras SK FK at home only, IF Brommapojkarna away only.
Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Vasteras SK FK 1 · draws 0 · IF Brommapojkarna 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | IF Brommapojkarna | 1-2 | Vasteras SK FK | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF 2026-11-01
- BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg 2026-11-01
- IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Vasteras SK FK, previous: Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK: odds and pick
- IF Brommapojkarna, previous: IF Brommapojkarna v BK Hacken analysis