Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF preview
In the Allsvenskan fixture, Djurgardens IF has a strong 79% probability of winning against Degerfors IF, who sit at just 6%. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with Djurgardens IF's expected goals of 2.48 compared to Degerfors IF's low 0.57.
However, the match could deviate from this expectation. While there's a 59% chance of Over 2.5 goals, only 41% of the time both teams are expected to score. Degerfors IF's recent form shows 4 losses in their last 5 matches, which could impact their performance. Djurgardens IF's confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in their ability to secure the win.
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF: model vs market
| Source | Djurgardens IF | Draw | Degerfors IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 78% | 16% | 6% |
| Market | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| Published | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| Edge | +2% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 0.57.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.32, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Djurgardens IF, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgardens IF | 1.30 | 1.29 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 5.40 | 5.20 | -0.20 |
| Degerfors IF | 8.55 | 9.00 | +0.45 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Djurgardens IF and Degerfors IF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.05
- Attack rating (Djurgardens IF / Degerfors IF)
- 1.40 / 0.70
- Defence rating (Djurgardens IF / Degerfors IF)
- 0.61 / 1.16
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Djurgardens IF goals. Columns: Degerfors IF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 41%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Djurgardens IF | 74% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.79 | |
| Degerfors IF | 9% | 10.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41% | 2.46 |
| No | 59% | 1.68 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Djurgardens IF or draw) | 91% | 1.10 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.21 | |
| X2 (draw or Degerfors IF) | 26% | 3.78 | |
| Handicap -1 | Djurgardens IF win by 2+ | 57% | 1.76 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Djurgardens IF and Degerfors IF recent form
Djurgardens IF
4W 1D 1L
Degerfors IF
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Djurgardens IF at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-2-5
- Win rate
- 46%
- Goals for / match
- 2.46
- Goals against / match
- 1.23
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 13
- They have won 15 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Degerfors IF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-8
- Win rate
- 15%
- Goals for / match
- 0.69
- Goals against / match
- 1.85
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
- They have won 5 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 25 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Djurgardens IF at home only, Degerfors IF away only.
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Djurgardens IF 2 · draws 1 · Degerfors IF 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Degerfors IF | 0-1 | Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-10-04 | Degerfors IF | 1-1 | Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-07-06 | Djurgardens IF | 5-1 | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF 2026-11-01
- BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg 2026-11-01
- IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna 2026-11-01
- Gais v AIK Stockholm — match page 2026-11-02
- Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF — team news & stats 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Djurgardens IF, previous: IFK Goteborg – Djurgardens IF, 2026-10-28
- Degerfors IF, previous: Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK: odds and pick