Gais vs AIK Stockholm preview
In the Allsvenskan fixture between Gais and AIK Stockholm, the 1X2 probabilities show Gais at 45%, AIK Stockholm at 32%, and a draw at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals both sit at 71%, indicating a strong possibility of an open game.
Gais has a recent form of D-L-L-W-L-D, while AIK Stockholm has W-D-L-L-D-L. The expected goals are 2.00 for Gais and 1.66 for AIK Stockholm. A draw or a low-scoring game could challenge the predictions, given the recent form of both teams and their head-to-head record, where Gais has 1 win, 1 draw, and AIK Stockholm has 2 wins in the last 4 encounters.
Gais vs AIK Stockholm: model vs market
| Source | Gais | Draw | AIK Stockholm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 23% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 45% | 23% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.66.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Gais and AIK Stockholm expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.66
- Attack rating (Gais / AIK Stockholm)
- 1.02 / 1.31
- Defence rating (Gais / AIK Stockholm)
- 0.95 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gais vs AIK Stockholm score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gais goals. Columns: AIK Stockholm goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gais vs AIK Stockholm goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gais vs AIK Stockholm
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gais | 45% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.32 | |
| AIK Stockholm | 32% | 3.15 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.41 |
| No | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gais or draw) | 68% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or AIK Stockholm) | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gais win by 2+ | 26% | 3.84 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Gais and AIK Stockholm recent form
Gais
1W 2D 3L
AIK Stockholm
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gais at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-3
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.31
- Goals against / match
- 0.46
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 13
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AIK Stockholm away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-2
- Win rate
- 46%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 1.23
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 13
- They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Gais at home only, AIK Stockholm away only.
Gais vs AIK Stockholm head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Gais 1 · draws 1 · AIK Stockholm 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | AIK Stockholm | 2-0 | Gais | Allsvenskan |
| 2026-03-14 | Gais | 3-2 | AIK Stockholm | Svenska Cupen |
| 2025-09-28 | AIK Stockholm | 1-1 | Gais | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-03-31 | Gais | 0-1 | AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF 2026-11-01
- BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg 2026-11-01
- IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna 2026-11-01
- Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF — team news & stats 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Gais, previous: Kalmar FF vs Gais: odds and pick
- AIK Stockholm, previous: AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg prediction