Sirius vs Halmstad preview
In the Allsvenskan match between Sirius and Halmstad, Sirius has a 70% probability to win, while Halmstad sits at just 12%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Sirius, with a 13% chance of occurring. Sirius has shown stronger recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches, compared to Halmstad's 2 wins in the same period.
However, the match could see unexpected outcomes. Both teams to score stands at 45%, and Over 2.5 goals is also at 45%, indicating that while Sirius is favored, Halmstad could still find a way to challenge. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the expected result.
Sirius vs Halmstad: model vs market
| Source | Sirius | Draw | Halmstad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 26% | 16% |
| Market | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| Published | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| Edge | -3% | +2% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.32, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Sirius vs Halmstad odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sirius, 11 snapshots since 2026-10-29.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sirius | 1.25 | 1.30 | +0.05 |
| Draw | 5.85 | 5.50 | -0.35 |
| Halmstad | 9.47 | 8.45 | -1.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sirius and Halmstad expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.49
- Attack rating (Sirius / Halmstad)
- 0.98 / 0.63
- Defence rating (Sirius / Halmstad)
- 0.93 / 1.15
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sirius vs Halmstad score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sirius goals. Columns: Halmstad goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sirius vs Halmstad goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sirius vs Halmstad
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sirius | 69% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.21 | |
| Halmstad | 12% | 8.20 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.20 |
| No | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sirius or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or Halmstad) | 31% | 3.19 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sirius win by 2+ | 34% | 2.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sirius and Halmstad recent form
Sirius
3W 1D 2L
Halmstad
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sirius at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 7-3-3
- Win rate
- 54%
- Goals for / match
- 2.15
- Goals against / match
- 1.46
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 13
- They have won 17 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Halmstad away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-9
- Win rate
- 8%
- Goals for / match
- 0.69
- Goals against / match
- 2.08
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 13
- They have won 4 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 26 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sirius at home only, Halmstad away only.
Injuries & availability
Sirius absences
-
O. Liimatta
injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.
Sirius vs Halmstad head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Sirius 5 · draws 2 · Halmstad 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Halmstad | 0-2 | Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-08-09 | Halmstad | 0-1 | Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-04-27 | Sirius | 1-1 | Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| 2024-10-19 | Halmstad | 3-1 | Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| 2024-04-01 | Sirius | 3-0 | Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| 2023-09-02 | Halmstad | 2-1 | Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| 2023-05-21 | Sirius | 1-2 | Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| 2021-09-27 | Halmstad | 1-1 | Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| 2021-04-18 | Sirius | 1-0 | Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| 2017-08-12 | Halmstad | 0-3 | Sirius | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF 2026-11-01
- BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg 2026-11-01
- IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna 2026-11-01
- Gais v AIK Stockholm — match page 2026-11-02
- Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF — team news & stats 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Sirius, previous: Hammarby FF vs Sirius prediction
- Sirius, next: Kalmar FF vs Sirius: odds and pick
- Halmstad, previous: Halmstad – Malmo FF, 2026-10-28
- Halmstad, next: Halmstad – Djurgardens IF, 2026-11-08