BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg preview
In the fixture between BK Hacken and IFK Goteborg, the 1X2 probabilities indicate a strong likelihood for BK Hacken at 49%, while IFK Goteborg sits at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 12% chance. BK Hacken has been in solid form, recording 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 matches, compared to IFK Goteborg's 4 wins and 2 draws in the same timeframe.
However, both teams to score sits at 47%, suggesting that IFK Goteborg could find the net. The expected goals show BK Hacken at 1.45 and IFK Goteborg at 0.91, indicating a potential struggle for the visitors to score. The confidence grade is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the outcome.
BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg: model vs market
| Source | BK Hacken | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 29% | 22% |
| Market | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| Published | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Edge | -1% | +1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.91.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg odds movement
Median bookmaker price on BK Hacken, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| BK Hacken | 1.80 | 1.80 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.00 | 4.00 | +0.00 |
| IFK Goteborg | 3.74 | 3.74 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
BK Hacken and IFK Goteborg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.37
- Attack rating (BK Hacken / IFK Goteborg)
- 1.32 / 1.17
- Defence rating (BK Hacken / IFK Goteborg)
- 0.58 / 0.72
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: BK Hacken goals. Columns: IFK Goteborg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BK Hacken | 51% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.04 | |
| IFK Goteborg | 24% | 4.11 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.37 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| No | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (BK Hacken or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or IFK Goteborg) | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Handicap -1 | BK Hacken win by 2+ | 25% | 4.04 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
BK Hacken and IFK Goteborg recent form
BK Hacken
4W 2D 0L
IFK Goteborg
4W 2D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
BK Hacken at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-5-2
- Win rate
- 46%
- Goals for / match
- 1.92
- Goals against / match
- 1.38
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 13
- They have won 12 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
IFK Goteborg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-4-5
- Win rate
- 31%
- Goals for / match
- 1.46
- Goals against / match
- 2.38
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 13
- They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: BK Hacken at home only, IFK Goteborg away only.
BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: BK Hacken 2 · draws 0 · IFK Goteborg 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | IFK Goteborg | 0-2 | BK Hacken | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-09-15 | BK Hacken | 1-2 | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-04-20 | IFK Goteborg | 2-3 | BK Hacken | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF 2026-11-01
- IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- BK Hacken, previous: IF Brommapojkarna v BK Hacken analysis
- IFK Goteborg, previous: IFK Goteborg – Djurgardens IF, 2026-10-28