Halmstad vs Malmo FF preview
Halmstad faces Malmo FF with a 1X2 probability of 16% for Halmstad, 29% for a draw, and 55% for Malmo FF. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs at 16%. Halmstad's expected goals are 0.67, while Malmo FF has 1.44.
Halmstad has struggled recently, recording two wins in their last five matches, while Malmo FF has found some form with three wins in their last five. The chances for Over 2.5 goals stand at 35%, and both teams to score is at 38%. The confidence grade is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Halmstad vs Malmo FF: model vs market
| Source | Halmstad | Draw | Malmo FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20% | 32% | 48% |
| Market | 20% | 23% | 56% |
| Published | 20% | 26% | 54% |
| Edge | 0% | +2% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.71.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.71, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Halmstad vs Malmo FF odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Malmo FF, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-23.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstad | 3.75 | 4.55 | +0.80 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 4.00 | +0.35 |
| Malmo FF | 1.87 | 1.66 | -0.21 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Halmstad and Malmo FF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.96
- Attack rating (Halmstad / Malmo FF)
- 0.67 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Halmstad / Malmo FF)
- 1.07 / 0.70
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Halmstad vs Malmo FF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Halmstad goals. Columns: Malmo FF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Halmstad vs Malmo FF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 38%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Halmstad vs Malmo FF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Halmstad | 20% | 4.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.92 | |
| Malmo FF | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31% | 3.19 |
| Under 2.5 | 69% | 1.46 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38% | 2.66 |
| No | 62% | 1.60 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Halmstad or draw) | 46% | 2.18 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Malmo FF) | 80% | 1.26 | |
| Handicap -1 | Malmo FF win by 2+ | 23% | 4.44 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Halmstad and Malmo FF recent form
Halmstad
2W 0D 4L
Malmo FF
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Halmstad at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-7
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.58
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 4 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 25 matches.
Malmo FF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.08
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 12
- They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Halmstad at home only, Malmo FF away only.
Injuries & availability
Malmo FF absences
- I. Assibu inactive
-
K. Busuladzic
injury
-
N. John
inactive
-
O. Sjostrand
knee injury
-
P. Jansson
knee injury
-
W. Kamanzi
muscle injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.
Halmstad vs Malmo FF head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Halmstad 0 · draws 1 · Malmo FF 9.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Malmo FF | 5-2 | Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| 2026-03-08 | Malmo FF | 2-1 | Halmstad | Svenska Cupen |
| 2025-08-16 | Halmstad | 0-4 | Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-05-18 | Malmo FF | 3-0 | Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| 2024-08-10 | Halmstad | 0-1 | Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| 2024-07-07 | Malmo FF | 5-1 | Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| 2024-03-16 | Halmstad | 0-4 | Malmo FF | Svenska Cupen |
| 2023-08-07 | Malmo FF | 3-0 | Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
| 2023-05-14 | Halmstad | 0-1 | Malmo FF | Allsvenskan |
| 2021-12-04 | Malmo FF | 0-0 | Halmstad | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- AIK Stockholm v IF Elfsborg — match page 2026-10-27
- IFK Goteborg v Djurgardens IF — match page 2026-10-28
- IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Degerfors IF v Vasteras SK FK — match page 2026-10-28
- Hammarby FF vs Sirius 2026-10-29
- Kalmar FF vs Gais 2026-10-29
- Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Halmstad, previous: Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad: odds and pick
- Malmo FF, previous: IF Elfsborg vs Malmo FF: odds and pick
- Malmo FF, next: Malmo FF vs Hammarby FF prediction