Kalmar FF vs Gais preview
In the match between Kalmar FF and Gais, the 1X2 probabilities show Kalmar FF at 28%, a draw at 28%, and Gais at 44%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs with a 9% probability. Gais has a stronger recent form with 2 wins, while Kalmar FF has lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
The expected goals indicate Kalmar FF at 1.16 and Gais at 1.50. With 50% probability for Over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, there is potential for a high-scoring game. However, if Kalmar FF improves their form, it could lead to a different outcome than predicted.
Kalmar FF vs Gais: model vs market
| Source | Kalmar FF | Draw | Gais |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 27% | 50% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Published | 34% | 28% | 38% |
| Edge | -4% | 0% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.02.
- The market prices Gais below our published probability: +4.0 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.80, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +7.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Kalmar FF vs Gais odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Gais, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-23.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalmar FF | 3.22 | 2.45 | -0.77 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.30 | +0.00 |
| Gais | 2.17 | 2.70 | +0.53 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Kalmar FF and Gais expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.65
- Attack rating (Kalmar FF / Gais)
- 0.70 / 1.02
- Defence rating (Kalmar FF / Gais)
- 1.19 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kalmar FF vs Gais score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kalmar FF goals. Columns: Gais goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kalmar FF vs Gais goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 53%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kalmar FF vs Gais
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kalmar FF | 34% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 | |
| Gais | 38% | 2.61 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| No | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kalmar FF or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Gais) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gais win by 2+ | 27% | 3.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kalmar FF and Gais recent form
Kalmar FF
1W 0D 5L
Gais
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kalmar FF at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-5
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 24 matches.
Gais away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-7
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kalmar FF at home only, Gais away only.
Kalmar FF vs Gais head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Kalmar FF 0 · draws 0 · Gais 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Gais | 3-0 | Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- AIK Stockholm v IF Elfsborg — match page 2026-10-27
- IFK Goteborg v Djurgardens IF — match page 2026-10-28
- IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Halmstad vs Malmo FF — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Degerfors IF v Vasteras SK FK — match page 2026-10-28
- Hammarby FF vs Sirius 2026-10-29
- Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Kalmar FF, previous: Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna prediction
- Gais, previous: Gais – IFK Goteborg, 2026-10-25