Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF preview
In the match between Orgryte IS and Mjallby AIF, the 1X2 probabilities show Mjallby AIF at 40%, while Orgryte IS stands at 33%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 6% chance. Both teams to score has a 56% probability, indicating a good chance for goals from both sides.
Orgryte IS has an expected goals figure of 1.69 compared to Mjallby AIF's 1.12. However, Orgryte IS's recent form shows just 1 win in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance. Mjallby AIF also struggles with 1 win in their last 6 games, making this a competitive fixture.
Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF: model vs market
| Source | Orgryte IS | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | 25% | 25% | 49% |
| Published | 32% | 25% | 42% |
| Edge | +7% | 0% | -7% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.93, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -18.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Mjallby AIF, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-23.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orgryte IS | 3.32 | 3.70 | +0.38 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.70 | +0.15 |
| Mjallby AIF | 2.03 | 1.89 | -0.14 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Orgryte IS and Mjallby AIF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.86
- Attack rating (Orgryte IS / Mjallby AIF)
- 1.09 / 0.59
- Defence rating (Orgryte IS / Mjallby AIF)
- 1.31 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Orgryte IS goals. Columns: Mjallby AIF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orgryte IS | 32% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 | |
| Mjallby AIF | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.19 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Orgryte IS or draw) | 58% | 1.73 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Mjallby AIF) | 68% | 1.48 | |
| Handicap -1 | Mjallby AIF win by 2+ | 8% | 12.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Orgryte IS and Mjallby AIF recent form
Orgryte IS
1W 2D 3L
Mjallby AIF
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Orgryte IS at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-6-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 4 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mjallby AIF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-6-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Orgryte IS at home only, Mjallby AIF away only.
Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Orgryte IS 1 · draws 0 · Mjallby AIF 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Mjallby AIF | 0-2 | Orgryte IS | Allsvenskan |
| 2026-02-27 | Orgryte IS | 0-3 | Mjallby AIF | Svenska Cupen |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- AIK Stockholm v IF Elfsborg — match page 2026-10-27
- IFK Goteborg v Djurgardens IF — match page 2026-10-28
- IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Halmstad vs Malmo FF — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Degerfors IF v Vasteras SK FK — match page 2026-10-28
- Hammarby FF vs Sirius 2026-10-29
- Kalmar FF vs Gais 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Orgryte IS, previous: Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS prediction
- Orgryte IS, next: IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS: odds and pick
- Mjallby AIF, previous: Mjallby AIF v Hammarby FF analysis
- Mjallby AIF, next: Mjallby AIF v Borac Banja Luka analysis