Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF preview
In the match between Mjallby AIF and Hammarby FF, the 1X2 probabilities show Hammarby FF at 61% to win, while Mjallby AIF sits at 13%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 16% chance of occurring. Hammarby FF's expected goals are 1.62, significantly higher than Mjallby AIF's 0.62, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
However, Mjallby AIF has a strong recent head-to-head record, winning 3 of the last 4 encounters against Hammarby FF. Additionally, while the model suggests a 39% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance for both teams to score, these figures could shift if Mjallby AIF finds their scoring form.
Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF: model vs market
| Source | Mjallby AIF | Draw | Hammarby FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13% | 28% | 59% |
| Market | 18% | 22% | 61% |
| Published | 16% | 23% | 60% |
| Edge | -5% | +6% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.58.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Hammarby FF, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mjallby AIF | 5.30 | 5.28 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.00 |
| Hammarby FF | 1.54 | 1.53 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Mjallby AIF and Hammarby FF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.10
- Attack rating (Mjallby AIF / Hammarby FF)
- 0.60 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Mjallby AIF / Hammarby FF)
- 1.10 / 0.63
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Mjallby AIF goals. Columns: Hammarby FF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 35%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mjallby AIF | 16% | 6.06 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.33 | |
| Hammarby FF | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35% | 2.86 |
| Under 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35% | 2.82 |
| No | 65% | 1.55 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Mjallby AIF or draw) | 40% | 2.53 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Hammarby FF) | 84% | 1.20 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hammarby FF win by 2+ | 32% | 3.12 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Mjallby AIF and Hammarby FF recent form
Mjallby AIF
1W 2D 3L
Hammarby FF
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Mjallby AIF at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-7
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.58
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
- They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hammarby FF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-3-4
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 12
- They have won 13 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Mjallby AIF at home only, Hammarby FF away only.
Mjallby AIF vs Hammarby FF head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Mjallby AIF 3 · draws 0 · Hammarby FF 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Mjallby AIF | 2-1 | Hammarby FF | Svenska Cupen |
| 2026-04-04 | Hammarby FF | 3-0 | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-05-22 | Hammarby FF | 1-2 | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-04-18 | Mjallby AIF | 3-1 | Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- IF Elfsborg v Malmo FF — match page 2026-10-23
- Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Sirius vs AIK Stockholm 2026-10-24
- Djurgardens IF v Orgryte IS — match page 2026-10-24
- Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Gais vs IFK Goteborg 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Mjallby AIF, previous: FC Iberia 1999 v Mjallby AIF analysis
- Mjallby AIF, next: Mjallby AIF v Borac Banja Luka analysis
- Hammarby FF, previous: Halmstad vs Hammarby FF prediction