BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF preview
In the fixture between BK Hacken and Degerfors IF, the 1X2 probabilities show BK Hacken at 61%, while Degerfors IF is at 14%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-0, with a 13% chance. BK Hacken has an expected goals figure of 1.83 compared to Degerfors IF's 0.77, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, recent form could influence the outcome. BK Hacken's last six matches show 4 wins and 2 draws, while Degerfors IF has only 1 win and 4 losses in their recent games. With 48% for Over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, the match could still surprise if Degerfors IF finds their scoring touch.
BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF: model vs market
| Source | BK Hacken | Draw | Degerfors IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61% | 25% | 14% |
| Market | 65% | 20% | 15% |
| Published | 64% | 22% | 14% |
| Edge | -4% | +5% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.69.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.45, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF odds movement
Median bookmaker price on BK Hacken, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| BK Hacken | 1.45 | 1.43 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 4.40 | 4.60 | +0.20 |
| Degerfors IF | 6.26 | 6.33 | +0.07 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
BK Hacken and Degerfors IF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.41
- Attack rating (BK Hacken / Degerfors IF)
- 1.18 / 0.77
- Defence rating (BK Hacken / Degerfors IF)
- 0.68 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: BK Hacken goals. Columns: Degerfors IF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BK Hacken | 64% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.64 | |
| Degerfors IF | 14% | 6.93 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.31 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.38 |
| No | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Double chance | 1X (BK Hacken or draw) | 86% | 1.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Degerfors IF) | 36% | 2.78 | |
| Handicap -1 | BK Hacken win by 2+ | 35% | 2.82 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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BK Hacken and Degerfors IF recent form
BK Hacken
3W 2D 1L
Degerfors IF
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
BK Hacken at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-5-2
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Degerfors IF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-7
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 23 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: BK Hacken at home only, Degerfors IF away only.
BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: BK Hacken 0 · draws 2 · Degerfors IF 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Degerfors IF | 1-1 | BK Hacken | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-08-10 | Degerfors IF | 0-0 | BK Hacken | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-04-23 | BK Hacken | 3-4 | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- IF Elfsborg v Malmo FF — match page 2026-10-23
- Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Sirius vs AIK Stockholm 2026-10-24
- Djurgardens IF v Orgryte IS — match page 2026-10-24
- Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Gais vs IFK Goteborg 2026-10-25
- Mjallby AIF v Hammarby FF — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- BK Hacken, previous: Malmo FF v BK Hacken analysis
- Degerfors IF, previous: Degerfors IF v Kalmar FF analysis