Gais vs IFK Goteborg preview
In the Allsvenskan fixture between Gais and IFK Goteborg, the 1X2 probabilities show Gais at 40%, draw at 28%, and IFK Goteborg at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 7% chance. Gais has an expected goals figure of 1.22, while IFK Goteborg stands at 1.55, indicating a potential edge for the visitors.
Both teams to score has a 57% chance, and there’s a 52% probability for Over 2.5 goals. However, the recent form of Gais, with 2 wins in their last 5 matches, contrasts sharply with IFK Goteborg's strong run of 6 consecutive wins. This form discrepancy could influence the match outcome significantly.
Gais vs IFK Goteborg: model vs market
| Source | Gais | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Market | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Published | 39% | 27% | 33% |
| Edge | -14% | 0% | +14% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Gais vs IFK Goteborg odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Gais, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gais | 2.15 | 2.15 | -0.00 |
| Draw | 3.34 | 3.36 | +0.02 |
| IFK Goteborg | 3.25 | 3.10 | -0.15 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Gais and IFK Goteborg expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.77
- Attack rating (Gais / IFK Goteborg)
- 1.05 / 1.22
- Defence rating (Gais / IFK Goteborg)
- 0.95 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Gais vs IFK Goteborg score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Gais goals. Columns: IFK Goteborg goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Gais vs IFK Goteborg goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Gais vs IFK Goteborg
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gais | 39% | 2.54 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.65 | |
| IFK Goteborg | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.77 |
| No | 43% | 2.30 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Gais or draw) | 67% | 1.50 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or IFK Goteborg) | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Handicap -1 | Gais win by 2+ | 12% | 8.07 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Gais and IFK Goteborg recent form
Gais
2W 1D 3L
IFK Goteborg
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Gais at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-3
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.42
- Clean sheets
- 7 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IFK Goteborg away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-5
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Gais at home only, IFK Goteborg away only.
Gais vs IFK Goteborg head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Gais 0 · draws 2 · IFK Goteborg 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | IFK Goteborg | 2-2 | Gais | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-08-11 | Gais | 0-1 | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-04-28 | IFK Goteborg | 1-1 | Gais | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- IF Elfsborg v Malmo FF — match page 2026-10-23
- Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Sirius vs AIK Stockholm 2026-10-24
- Djurgardens IF v Orgryte IS — match page 2026-10-24
- Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Mjallby AIF v Hammarby FF — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Gais, previous: Orgryte IS – Gais, 2026-10-18
- IFK Goteborg, previous: AIK Stockholm vs IFK Goteborg: odds and pick