Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS preview
Djurgardens IF faces Orgryte IS with a strong 84% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which has a 13% chance of occurring. Djurgardens IF has impressive expected goals of 2.91, while Orgryte IS sits at just 0.57.
However, the recent form shows Djurgardens IF winning 6 of their last 7 matches, while Orgryte IS has struggled with 4 losses in their last 5 games. There is a 68% chance of Over 2.5 goals, but only a 42% chance for both teams to score. If Djurgardens IF underperforms or Orgryte IS finds an unexpected form, the outcome could differ from expectations.
Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS: model vs market
| Source | Djurgardens IF | Draw | Orgryte IS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 82% | 13% | 6% |
| Market | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| Published | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.90 vs 0.69.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.16, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Djurgardens IF, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgardens IF | 1.12 | 1.13 | +0.01 |
| Draw | 8.20 | 7.75 | -0.45 |
| Orgryte IS | 16.00 | 14.08 | -1.92 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Djurgardens IF and Orgryte IS expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.59
- Attack rating (Djurgardens IF / Orgryte IS)
- 1.42 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Djurgardens IF / Orgryte IS)
- 0.50 / 1.33
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Djurgardens IF goals. Columns: Orgryte IS goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Djurgardens IF | 82% | 1.23 |
| Draw | 12% | 8.23 | |
| Orgryte IS | 6% | 15.87 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.29 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.10 |
| No | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Djurgardens IF or draw) | 94% | 1.07 |
| 12 (either side) | 88% | 1.14 | |
| X2 (draw or Orgryte IS) | 18% | 5.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Djurgardens IF win by 2+ | 63% | 1.59 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Djurgardens IF and Orgryte IS recent form
Djurgardens IF
5W 0D 1L
Orgryte IS
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Djurgardens IF at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-1-5
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 12
- They have won 14 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Orgryte IS away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-10
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 3 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Djurgardens IF at home only, Orgryte IS away only.
Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Djurgardens IF 0 · draws 1 · Orgryte IS 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Orgryte IS | 0-0 | Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- IF Elfsborg v Malmo FF — match page 2026-10-23
- Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Sirius vs AIK Stockholm 2026-10-24
- Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Gais vs IFK Goteborg 2026-10-25
- Mjallby AIF v Hammarby FF — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Djurgardens IF, previous: IF Brommapojkarna – Djurgardens IF, 2026-10-16
- Orgryte IS, previous: Orgryte IS – Gais, 2026-10-18