Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad preview
In the upcoming match between Vasteras SK FK and Halmstad, the 1X2 probabilities show Vasteras SK FK at 58% to win, while Halmstad stands at 19%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 15% chance of occurring. Vasteras SK FK's expected goals are 1.78, compared to Halmstad's 0.61, indicating a stronger attacking performance from the home team.
However, the match could deviate from the prediction if Halmstad improves their scoring, as they have shown some recent form with two wins in their last three games. Additionally, both teams to score has a 39% likelihood, suggesting that Halmstad could find the net. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the forecast.
Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad: model vs market
| Source | Vasteras SK FK | Draw | Halmstad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63% | 26% | 11% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 21% |
| Published | 57% | 24% | 18% |
| Edge | +7% | +2% | -10% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.55.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Vasteras SK FK below the model: +7.2 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update.
Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Vasteras SK FK, 5 snapshots since 2026-10-17.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasteras SK FK | 1.69 | 1.67 | -0.02 |
| Draw | 4.05 | 3.95 | -0.10 |
| Halmstad | 4.28 | 4.47 | +0.20 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Vasteras SK FK and Halmstad expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.18
- Attack rating (Vasteras SK FK / Halmstad)
- 0.94 / 0.58
- Defence rating (Vasteras SK FK / Halmstad)
- 0.71 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vasteras SK FK goals. Columns: Halmstad goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 35%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasteras SK FK | 57% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.14 | |
| Halmstad | 18% | 5.44 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.69 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35% | 2.86 |
| No | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vasteras SK FK or draw) | 82% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Halmstad) | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vasteras SK FK win by 2+ | 36% | 2.79 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vasteras SK FK and Halmstad recent form
Vasteras SK FK
4W 0D 2L
Halmstad
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vasteras SK FK at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-4-3
- Win rate
- 42%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 6 of 12
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
Halmstad away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-9
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.58
- Goals against / match
- 2.17
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 12
- They have won 3 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 23 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vasteras SK FK at home only, Halmstad away only.
Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Vasteras SK FK 1 · draws 0 · Halmstad 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Halmstad | 1-3 | Vasteras SK FK | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
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- Sirius vs AIK Stockholm 2026-10-24
- Djurgardens IF v Orgryte IS — match page 2026-10-24
- Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Gais vs IFK Goteborg 2026-10-25
- Mjallby AIF v Hammarby FF — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Vasteras SK FK, previous: Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF: odds and pick
- Halmstad, previous: Halmstad vs Hammarby FF prediction