Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna preview
In the Allsvenskan fixture between Kalmar FF and IF Brommapojkarna, the 1X2 probabilities show Kalmar FF at 44%, while IF Brommapojkarna stands at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% chance. The model predicts a high likelihood of goals, with 60% for Over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
Kalmar FF's recent form is concerning, with 5 losses and 1 draw in their last 6 matches. In contrast, IF Brommapojkarna has a mixed form with 2 wins and 4 losses in the same period. This disparity in recent performance could influence the outcome, despite the statistical edge for Kalmar FF.
Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna: model vs market
| Source | Kalmar FF | Draw | IF Brommapojkarna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 26% | 40% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 26% |
| Published | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Edge | -13% | 0% | +13% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.02, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Kalmar FF, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalmar FF | 1.98 | 1.95 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.55 | +0.00 |
| IF Brommapojkarna | 3.46 | 3.50 | +0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Kalmar FF and IF Brommapojkarna expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.13
- Attack rating (Kalmar FF / IF Brommapojkarna)
- 0.71 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Kalmar FF / IF Brommapojkarna)
- 1.14 / 1.37
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kalmar FF goals. Columns: IF Brommapojkarna goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kalmar FF | 44% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | |
| IF Brommapojkarna | 30% | 3.36 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.53 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| No | 36% | 2.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kalmar FF or draw) | 70% | 1.42 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or IF Brommapojkarna) | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Handicap -1 | Kalmar FF win by 2+ | 17% | 5.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kalmar FF and IF Brommapojkarna recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kalmar FF at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-4
- Win rate
- 45%
- Goals for / match
- 1.27
- Goals against / match
- 1.55
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 11
- They have won 5 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 23 matches.
IF Brommapojkarna away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-3-5
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kalmar FF at home only, IF Brommapojkarna away only.
Kalmar FF vs IF Brommapojkarna head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Kalmar FF 0 · draws 0 · IF Brommapojkarna 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | IF Brommapojkarna | 1-0 | Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
- IF Elfsborg v Malmo FF — match page 2026-10-23
- Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- BK Hacken vs Degerfors IF — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Sirius vs AIK Stockholm 2026-10-24
- Djurgardens IF v Orgryte IS — match page 2026-10-24
- Gais vs IFK Goteborg 2026-10-25
- Mjallby AIF v Hammarby FF — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Kalmar FF, previous: Degerfors IF v Kalmar FF analysis
- IF Brommapojkarna, previous: IF Brommapojkarna – Djurgardens IF, 2026-10-16