Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK preview
Degerfors IF faces Vasteras SK FK with 23% chances for a home win and 45% for an away victory. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 0.82 for Degerfors IF and 1.23 for Vasteras SK FK.
While both teams to score sits at 41% and Over 2.5 goals at 34%, the recent form shows Degerfors IF struggling with L-D-L-L-W-L, while Vasteras SK FK has a stronger record of W-L-W-W-L-W. These contrasting forms could influence the match outcome, making the predictions less certain.
Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK: model vs market
| Source | Degerfors IF | Draw | Vasteras SK FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21% | 30% | 49% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Published | 34% | 29% | 37% |
| Edge | -4% | 0% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Vasteras SK FK below our published probability: +3.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.90, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +7.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Vasteras SK FK, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-23.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Degerfors IF | 2.65 | 2.40 | -0.25 |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.25 | +0.00 |
| Vasteras SK FK | 2.50 | 2.79 | +0.29 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Degerfors IF and Vasteras SK FK expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.23
- Attack rating (Degerfors IF / Vasteras SK FK)
- 0.70 / 0.89
- Defence rating (Degerfors IF / Vasteras SK FK)
- 1.16 / 0.78
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Degerfors IF goals. Columns: Vasteras SK FK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Degerfors IF | 34% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Vasteras SK FK | 37% | 2.70 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.59 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.27 |
| No | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Degerfors IF or draw) | 63% | 1.59 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Vasteras SK FK) | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vasteras SK FK win by 2+ | 24% | 4.10 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Degerfors IF and Vasteras SK FK recent form
Degerfors IF
1W 1D 4L
Vasteras SK FK
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Degerfors IF at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-7
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.42
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 5 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 25 matches.
Vasteras SK FK away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-1-5
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.42
- Goals against / match
- 1.92
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Degerfors IF at home only, Vasteras SK FK away only.
Injuries & availability
Degerfors IF absences
-
J. Pikkarainen
knee injury
Vasteras SK FK absences
-
I. Lushaku
inactive
-
M. Diallo
health problems
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.
Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Degerfors IF 5 · draws 2 · Vasteras SK FK 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Vasteras SK FK | 2-0 | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
| 2026-02-14 | Vasteras SK FK | 0-1 | Degerfors IF | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2025-03-08 | Degerfors IF | 1-0 | Vasteras SK FK | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2024-07-15 | Degerfors IF | 3-1 | Vasteras SK FK | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2024-03-26 | Vasteras SK FK | 0-0 | Degerfors IF | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2021-03-14 | Degerfors IF | 3-4 | Vasteras SK FK | Svenska Cupen |
| 2020-10-05 | Degerfors IF | 4-1 | Vasteras SK FK | Superettan |
| 2020-06-21 | Vasteras SK FK | 2-2 | Degerfors IF | Superettan |
| 2019-09-22 | Vasteras SK FK | 1-0 | Degerfors IF | Superettan |
| 2019-06-15 | Degerfors IF | 3-2 | Vasteras SK FK | Superettan |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- AIK Stockholm v IF Elfsborg — match page 2026-10-27
- IFK Goteborg v Djurgardens IF — match page 2026-10-28
- IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Halmstad vs Malmo FF — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Hammarby FF vs Sirius 2026-10-29
- Kalmar FF vs Gais 2026-10-29
- Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- Degerfors IF, previous: BK Hacken – Degerfors IF, 2026-10-24
- Degerfors IF, next: Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF prediction
- Vasteras SK FK, previous: Vasteras SK FK vs Halmstad: odds and pick
- Vasteras SK FK, next: Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna: odds and pick