Updated

Allsvenskan · Matchday 26

IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF

· Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg

Alin prediction Djurgardens IF to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
IFK GoteborgDrawDjurgardens IF
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Djurgardens IF is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
IFK Goteborg3.34 Draw3.90 Djurgardens IF2.06

Price as of

Expected return at 2.06: -8.2% per unit staked

IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF preview

In the Allsvenskan fixture, IFK Goteborg faces Djurgardens IF with 23% chances for Goteborg to win and 48% for Djurgardens IF. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a 12% probability. Djurgardens IF has shown strong recent form with 5 wins in their last 6 matches, while Goteborg has managed 5 wins and a draw in the same period.

The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with IFK Goteborg at 0.93 and Djurgardens IF at 1.44. While both teams to score stands at 48%, the lower expected goals for Goteborg could mean they struggle to find the net. A draw is also a possibility with a 29% chance, which could disrupt Djurgardens IF's winning momentum.

IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceIFK GoteborgDrawDjurgardens IF
Model29%30%41%
Market29%25%46%
Published29%26%45%
Edge0%+1%-1%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.06, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Djurgardens IF, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-23.

Opened 1.81Now 2.04 +0.23
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
IFK Goteborg3.803.16-0.64
Draw3.853.72-0.13
Djurgardens IF1.812.04+0.23

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

IFK Goteborg and Djurgardens IF expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.09IFK Goteborg
1.35Djurgardens IF
Total expected goals
2.44
Attack rating (IFK Goteborg / Djurgardens IF)
1.17 / 1.40
Defence rating (IFK Goteborg / Djurgardens IF)
0.72 / 0.61

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.0% 10.5% 8.0% 3.6% 1.6% 1 8.2% 14.1% 8.7% 3.9% 1.8% 2 5.2% 7.0% 4.7% 2.1% 1.0% 3 1.9% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 4+ 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: IFK Goteborg goals. Columns: Djurgardens IF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 44%
Over 3.5 23%
Both teams to score
50%
No goals (0–0)
10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2IFK Goteborg29%3.41
Draw26%3.82
Djurgardens IF45%2.24
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544%2.27
Under 2.556%1.79
Both teams to scoreYes50%1.98
No50%2.02
Double chance1X (IFK Goteborg or draw)55%1.80
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or Djurgardens IF)71%1.41
Handicap -1Djurgardens IF win by 2+20%5.03
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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IFK Goteborg and Djurgardens IF recent form

IFK Goteborg 4W 2D 0L
Djurgardens IF 4W 1D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

IFK Goteborg at home

Record (W-D-L)
6-3-3
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
1.08
Clean sheets
3 of 12
  • They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Djurgardens IF away

Record (W-D-L)
9-1-2
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
0.58
Clean sheets
8 of 12
  • They have won 15 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: IFK Goteborg at home only, Djurgardens IF away only.

Injuries & availability

IFK Goteborg absences

  • A. Bergmark-Wiberg inactive
  • A. Erlingmark inactive
  • A. Jallow muscle injury
  • A. Mucolli knee injury
  • R. Lundqvist inactive

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: IFK Goteborg 2 · draws 2 · Djurgardens IF 6.

IFK GoteborgDrawsDjurgardens IF
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-04Djurgardens IF6-0IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
2025-11-02Djurgardens IF0-0IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
2025-05-12IFK Goteborg1-2Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
2025-03-02Djurgardens IF3-4IFK GoteborgSvenska Cupen
2024-08-04Djurgardens IF1-1IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
2024-04-01IFK Goteborg1-4Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
2024-03-03Djurgardens IF3-0IFK GoteborgSvenska Cupen
2023-08-13IFK Goteborg2-1Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
2023-04-23Djurgardens IF1-0IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
2022-09-18Djurgardens IF3-0IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Djurgardens IF to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Djurgardens IF