IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF preview
In the Allsvenskan fixture, IFK Goteborg faces Djurgardens IF with 23% chances for Goteborg to win and 48% for Djurgardens IF. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a 12% probability. Djurgardens IF has shown strong recent form with 5 wins in their last 6 matches, while Goteborg has managed 5 wins and a draw in the same period.
The expected goals suggest a tight contest, with IFK Goteborg at 0.93 and Djurgardens IF at 1.44. While both teams to score stands at 48%, the lower expected goals for Goteborg could mean they struggle to find the net. A draw is also a possibility with a 29% chance, which could disrupt Djurgardens IF's winning momentum.
IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF: model vs market
| Source | IFK Goteborg | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 30% | 41% |
| Market | 29% | 25% | 46% |
| Published | 29% | 26% | 45% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | -1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.06, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Djurgardens IF, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-23.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Goteborg | 3.80 | 3.16 | -0.64 |
| Draw | 3.85 | 3.72 | -0.13 |
| Djurgardens IF | 1.81 | 2.04 | +0.23 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
IFK Goteborg and Djurgardens IF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.44
- Attack rating (IFK Goteborg / Djurgardens IF)
- 1.17 / 1.40
- Defence rating (IFK Goteborg / Djurgardens IF)
- 0.72 / 0.61
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: IFK Goteborg goals. Columns: Djurgardens IF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Goteborg | 29% | 3.41 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 | |
| Djurgardens IF | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44% | 2.27 |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 1.98 |
| No | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Double chance | 1X (IFK Goteborg or draw) | 55% | 1.80 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Djurgardens IF) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | Djurgardens IF win by 2+ | 20% | 5.03 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
IFK Goteborg and Djurgardens IF recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
IFK Goteborg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-3-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.08
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 12
- They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Djurgardens IF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-1-2
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 0.58
- Clean sheets
- 8 of 12
- They have won 15 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: IFK Goteborg at home only, Djurgardens IF away only.
Injuries & availability
IFK Goteborg absences
-
A. Bergmark-Wiberg
inactive
- A. Erlingmark inactive
-
A. Jallow
muscle injury
-
A. Mucolli
knee injury
- R. Lundqvist inactive
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.
IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: IFK Goteborg 2 · draws 2 · Djurgardens IF 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Djurgardens IF | 6-0 | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-11-02 | Djurgardens IF | 0-0 | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-05-12 | IFK Goteborg | 1-2 | Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-03-02 | Djurgardens IF | 3-4 | IFK Goteborg | Svenska Cupen |
| 2024-08-04 | Djurgardens IF | 1-1 | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| 2024-04-01 | IFK Goteborg | 1-4 | Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan |
| 2024-03-03 | Djurgardens IF | 3-0 | IFK Goteborg | Svenska Cupen |
| 2023-08-13 | IFK Goteborg | 2-1 | Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan |
| 2023-04-23 | Djurgardens IF | 1-0 | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
| 2022-09-18 | Djurgardens IF | 3-0 | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- AIK Stockholm v IF Elfsborg — match page 2026-10-27
- IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Halmstad vs Malmo FF — team news & stats 2026-10-28
- Degerfors IF v Vasteras SK FK — match page 2026-10-28
- Hammarby FF vs Sirius 2026-10-29
- Kalmar FF vs Gais 2026-10-29
- Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF 2026-10-29
Before and after this match
- IFK Goteborg, previous: Gais – IFK Goteborg, 2026-10-25
- IFK Goteborg, next: BK Hacken – IFK Goteborg, 2026-11-01
- Djurgardens IF, previous: Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS prediction
- Djurgardens IF, next: Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF prediction