Updated

Allsvenskan · Matchday 26

IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken

· Grimsta IP, Stockholm

Alin prediction BK Hacken to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
IF BrommapojkarnaDrawBK Hacken
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 1.03.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Best market odds
IF Brommapojkarna4.21 Draw4.15 BK Hacken1.77

Price as of

Expected return at 1.77: -0.4% per unit staked

IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken preview

In the match between IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken, the 1X2 probabilities show IF Brommapojkarna at 18%, a draw at 22%, and BK Hacken leading at 61%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which aligns with expected goals of 1.11 for IF Brommapojkarna and 2.17 for BK Hacken.

The model also indicates a 63% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 60% likelihood for both teams to score. However, IF Brommapojkarna's recent form, with 3 losses in their last 6 matches, could impact their performance against a stronger BK Hacken, who has won 3 of their last 5 games.

IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceIF BrommapojkarnaDrawBK Hacken
Model16%21%63%
Market23%23%54%
Published21%23%56%
Edge-2%-1%+2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 1.03.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices BK Hacken below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.77, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken odds movement

Median bookmaker price on BK Hacken, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-23.

Opened 1.89Now 1.73 -0.16
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
IF Brommapojkarna3.604.13+0.53
Draw3.753.98+0.23
BK Hacken1.891.73-0.16

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.03IF Brommapojkarna
2.22BK Hacken
Total expected goals
3.25
Attack rating (IF Brommapojkarna / BK Hacken)
1.17 / 1.32
Defence rating (IF Brommapojkarna / BK Hacken)
1.25 / 0.58

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.8% 7.7% 9.5% 7.0% 6.5% 1 3.1% 9.8% 9.8% 7.3% 6.8% 2 2.1% 4.6% 5.1% 3.8% 3.5% 3 0.7% 1.6% 1.8% 1.3% 1.2% 4+ 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4%

Rows: IF Brommapojkarna goals. Columns: BK Hacken goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 63%
Over 3.5 41%
Both teams to score
58%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2IF Brommapojkarna21%4.80
Draw23%4.37
BK Hacken56%1.78
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563%1.59
Under 2.537%2.71
Both teams to scoreYes58%1.71
No42%2.40
Double chance1X (IF Brommapojkarna or draw)44%2.29
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or BK Hacken)79%1.26
Handicap -1BK Hacken win by 2+41%2.43
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken recent form

IF Brommapojkarna 3W 0D 3L
BK Hacken 4W 2D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

IF Brommapojkarna at home

Record (W-D-L)
4-3-5
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.25
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
2 of 12
  • They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

BK Hacken away

Record (W-D-L)
6-4-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.83
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
7 of 12
  • They have won 12 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: IF Brommapojkarna at home only, BK Hacken away only.

Injuries & availability

IF Brommapojkarna absences

  • K. Sever injury

BK Hacken absences

  • B. Engdahl lower-body injury
  • F. Ohman shoulder injury

Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider; confirmed line-ups appear about 40 minutes before kick-off.

IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: IF Brommapojkarna 2 · draws 2 · BK Hacken 6.

IF BrommapojkarnaDrawsBK Hacken
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-06BK Hacken2-2IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
2025-10-05IF Brommapojkarna1-3BK HackenAllsvenskan
2025-03-29BK Hacken2-0IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
2024-08-18IF Brommapojkarna1-3BK HackenAllsvenskan
2024-04-15BK Hacken4-3IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
2024-03-02BK Hacken1-1IF BrommapojkarnaSvenska Cupen
2023-11-12IF Brommapojkarna2-1BK HackenAllsvenskan
2023-07-15BK Hacken4-2IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
2018-08-26BK Hacken6-0IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
2018-04-09IF Brommapojkarna2-0BK HackenAllsvenskan

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot BK Hacken to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on BK Hacken