Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars: model vs market
| Source | Coastal Union | Draw | Singida Black Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 22% | 50% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 28% | 22% | 50% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 1.66.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Coastal Union and Singida Black Stars expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.86
- Attack rating (Coastal Union / Singida Black Stars)
- 1.04 / 2.15
- Defence rating (Coastal Union / Singida Black Stars)
- 1.15 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Coastal Union goals. Columns: Singida Black Stars goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 73%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coastal Union | 28% | 3.52 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.56 | |
| Singida Black Stars | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 2.5 | 26% | 3.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73% | 1.37 |
| No | 27% | 3.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Coastal Union or draw) | 50% | 1.99 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Singida Black Stars) | 72% | 1.40 | |
| Handicap -1 | Singida Black Stars win by 2+ | 30% | 3.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Coastal Union and Singida Black Stars recent form
Coastal Union
2W 1D 3L
Singida Black Stars
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Coastal Union at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Singida Black Stars away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Coastal Union at home only, Singida Black Stars away only.
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Coastal Union 1 · draws 0 · Singida Black Stars 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Coastal Union | 2-1 | Singida Black Stars | Tanzania Premier League |
| 2026-03-02 | Singida Black Stars | 1-0 | Coastal Union | Tanzania Premier League |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
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- Simba vs Mashujaa 2026-10-13