Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK: model vs market
| Source | Sarıyer | Draw | Bodrum FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 37% | 24% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 39% | 37% | 24% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sarıyer and Bodrum FK expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.62
- Attack rating (Sarıyer / Bodrum FK)
- 0.97 / 0.73
- Defence rating (Sarıyer / Bodrum FK)
- 0.76 / 0.59
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sarıyer goals. Columns: Bodrum FK goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 31%
- No goals (0–0)
- 21%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sarıyer | 39% | 2.59 |
| Draw | 37% | 2.69 | |
| Bodrum FK | 24% | 4.14 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22% | 4.53 |
| Under 2.5 | 78% | 1.28 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31% | 3.20 |
| No | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sarıyer or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 63% | 1.59 | |
| X2 (draw or Bodrum FK) | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sarıyer win by 2+ | 15% | 6.80 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sarıyer and Bodrum FK recent form
Sarıyer
3W 1D 2L
Bodrum FK
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sarıyer at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Bodrum FK away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sarıyer at home only, Bodrum FK away only.
Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Sarıyer 2 · draws 0 · Bodrum FK 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Bodrum FK | 0-1 | Sarıyer | 1. Lig |
| 2025-12-27 | Sarıyer | 1-0 | Bodrum FK | 1. Lig |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Bandırmaspor v Sivasspor — match page 2026-10-13
- Pendikspor v Vanspor FK — match page 2026-10-13