Blacks Power vs Vipers Prediction & Betting Tips 08/10/2026

Blacks Power vs Vipers preview

In the Uganda Premier League, Blacks Power hosts Vipers with model 1X2 probabilities showing Blacks Power at 25%, a draw at 37%, and Vipers also at 37%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 17% chance. This suggests a close match, but the low expected goals of 0.71 for Blacks Power and 0.93 for Vipers indicate that scoring may be limited.

While the market shows a 23% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score, these numbers suggest that a high-scoring game is not expected. Blacks Power's recent form includes one loss followed by three wins, while Vipers has two wins, a draw, and a loss in their last six matches. The confidence grade is C, meaning the probabilities are based solely on the model.

Blacks Power vs Vipers: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Blacks Power	Draw	Vipers
Model	25%	37%	37%
Market	—	—	—
Published	25%	37%	37%
Edge	—	—	—

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Blacks Power and Vipers expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.71Blacks Power

0.93Vipers

Total expected goals: 1.64
Attack rating (Blacks Power / Vipers): 1.09 / 1.22
Defence rating (Blacks Power / Vipers): 0.92 / 0.52

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Blacks Power vs Vipers score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 20.7% 16.7% 8.3% 2.6% 0.7% 1 12.6% 14.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.5% 2 5.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 3 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 4+ 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Blacks Power goals. Columns: Vipers goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Blacks Power vs Vipers goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 79%

Over 1.5 50%

Over 2.5 23%

Over 3.5 8%

Both teams to score: 32%
No goals (0–0): 21%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Blacks Power vs Vipers

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Blacks Power	25%	3.92
	Draw	37%	2.70
	Vipers	37%	2.67
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	23%	4.40
	Under 2.5	77%	1.29
Both teams to score	Yes	32%	3.11
	No	68%	1.47
Double chance	1X (Blacks Power or draw)	63%	1.60
	12 (either side)	63%	1.59
	X2 (draw or Vipers)	75%	1.34
Handicap -1	Vipers win by 2+	14%	7.07
	Push (exactly one goal)	23%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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